Augusta Cirque Tour (Cascade, Mineral Point, Augusta, Unnamed 12104)

CB Avalanche Center2016-17 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 12/30/2016
Name: Ian Havlick
Subject: Augusta Cirque Tour (Cascade, Mineral Point, Augusta, Unnamed 12104)
Aspect: North East, East, South East, South, South West, West
Elevation: 9400-12550

Avalanches: none observed.
Weather: Mostly sunny, strong radiation, becoming windier and cloudier from WNW by 1300. High temps in mid teens at 12,000ft.
Snowpack: Pretty encouraging snowpack across areas travelled today. Definitely evidence of significant wind transport, wind sculpted snow surfaces. Dug one profile, 10,800ft, near treeline, 33º, south facing. 150-200cm deep, right-side up snowpack, majority 4F-1F-P. Tested 12/22 interface with PST. no propagating results (PST60/100arr 20161222). Travelled steep, windloaded features with no cracking, no obvious instabilities.

Xmas surface hoar lying flat (good!) found as “ghost layer” when dropping column after tests.
Moderate wind transport at 12,000ft below Augusta

Mountain Weather

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 12/31/2016

Warm moisture is spinning out of the southwest today ahead of two closed lows lined up over Nevada and California. We should see partly to mostly cloudy skies today, but all of the precipitation will get hung up on the San Juan Mountains to our south. A shortwave trough out of the northwest merges with these lows and kicks off 2017 with light snowfall. The polar jet then sags over Colorado on Sunday night, increasing snowfall rates and dropping the mercury into midweek. Look for accumulations to approach a foot of new snow by Tuesday night.

Snow surface obs

CB Avalanche Center2016-17 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 12/30/2016
Name: Zach Guy
Subject: Snow surface obs
Aspect: East, South, West
Elevation: 10,000-12,000ft

Avalanches: None.
Weather: Increasing clouds. Light winds. High of 37F.
Snowpack: Snow surface obs:
West aspects N/ATL: Heavily wind textured and scoured, highly variable across slopes from P to F hard wind packed rounds and facets.
East/Southeast aspects ATL. Mostly smooth, P to 1F .2mm wind packed rounds with early surface faceting.
South aspects NTL: Moderately smooth, 2cm breakable melt-freeze crust with early faceting beneath.

Mountain Weather 12/30/2016

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 12/30/2016

We will have a near carbon copy to yesterdays weather.  Temperatures nearing 32º, strong solar radiation, and generally light winds.  Look for a slight uptick in westerly winds this afternoon, and then high clouds move in ahead of series of storms next week. Details are emerging on this next stormy pattern, and it looks to be a long, windy, and cold event. Soak up that vitamin D now!

Natural avalanche on Gothic east face

CB Avalanche Center2016-17 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 12/29/2016
Name: Frank Stern
Subject: Natural avalanche on Gothic east face
Aspect: East
Elevation: 12,000

Avalanches: Natural release on east face of Gothic at 12,000′. Appeared to start below cliff in sun, ran over cliff approximately 200′ airborne. Snow continued to run for about 10 minutes. N-U-R2-D2+.
Weather: Sunny, 25 F
Snowpack:

Deep snowpack and mid-pack facets healing

CB Avalanche Center2016-17 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 12/29/2016
Name: Zach Guy
Subject: Deep snowpack and mid-pack facets healing
Aspect: North East, East, South
Elevation: 9600-12100

Avalanches: Extensive views from the Ruby Divide and did not see any fresh avalanche activity since the Christmas storm. I checked out the crown of the Schuylkill Ridge avalanche that ran around Christmas. It failed ~40cm deep on a layer of .5 – 1.0 mm near surface facets (Dec 22nd interface). This interface appears to be rounding and gaining strength, no significant hardness change or size change from the slab above, and non-propagating ECT results. The avalanche was SS-N-R3-D2-O. There were several other similar slides in adjacent paths. These bed surfaces hold a shallow, faceted snowpack now.
Weather: Clear. Light winds.
Snowpack: Snow depth consistently 230cm+ on various aspects/elevations except in obvious wind scoured locations. Dug 3 pits down to Dec 22nd interface and found it to be unreactive in extended column tests, anywhere from 70cm to 30cm deep, MFcr over rounding facets on southerly ATL, and rounding near surface facets on northerly N/BTL. No surface hoar observed in any pits, even in a suspect wind sheltered slope BTL. Wednesday’s wind event left shallow (less than 6″) but stiff drifts on obvious features. Stomped on a few of these and only produced minor cracking.  No other signs of instability.

Stubborn/unreactive wind drifts in specific locations, easy to avoid.

12/25 Schuylkill slide snapped a few small trees

Crown is mostly drifted over now. Very wide propagation

Avalanche appeared to fail about 40 cm deep on buried near surface facets.

Mountain Weather 12/29/2016

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 12/29/2016

One of those classic Colorado bluebird days will be on tap today, decreasing westerly winds at ridge top, and although a cold start to the morning, should warm up nicely into the mid to upper 20s at 11,000ft. We can expect clear skies into Saturday morning, before high clouds stream into our area in the afternoon. An active pattern of snow and cold gets 2017 off on the right foot for the weekend into early next week.

Paradise Divide Area

CB Avalanche Center2016-17 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 12/28/2016
Name: Briant Wiles
Subject:
Aspect: East
Elevation: 11,000

Avalanches:
Weather: Overcast with periods of light snow. Calm to light winds out of the west mid day becoming stronger and gusty in the afternoon. Robust snow transport beginning in the afternoon at ridge top level.
Snowpack: Dug around a bit on the approach. HS was 160cm. Found the NSF or buried surface hoar layer that has been discussed in recent forecast discussions. It was 30cms down snow above was starting to gain cohesion but was still fist to 4F. This layer was reactive to shovel shear and CT tests with clean failure planes. It will be interesting to see what will happen on this layer with the next load of snow. Also of note in this location the DH at the ground was 10cms and consisted of wet 1-1.5mm rounding facets. Mid pack was very stiff, 1F or greater and was difficult to distinguish the various storm layers. Rode slopes up to 35 degrees with no signs of instability.