Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 02/28/2020

Get out there and work on those goggle tans. Another classic Crested Butte day with warm temperatures, light winds, and clear skies. High pressure and warm, dry weather will continue through the weekend. Sunday is our next chance for mountain snowfall, however, more and more this is looking like somewhat of a non-event in the Elk Mountains. Potential for a small refresh is all we can hope for at this point, but more unsettled weather looks possible early next week. March looks to arrive like a lamb this year.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 35 to 40
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 10-15
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 35-40
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Crested Butte area BTL

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 02/27/2020
Name: Zach Kinler

Aspect: North, North East, East, South East

Elevation: 9,000-10,200

Avalanches:

No new avalanches observed.

 

Weather: Stunning bluebird day, FEW high clouds drifting over. Temps near freezing with light NW breeze occasionally gusting to moderate.

Snowpack: Toured below tree line on the north side of Mt. Emmons on E-N aspects. HS 130- 160 cm. No signs of instability while skiing on slopes up to 35 degrees or stomping small test slopes greater than 35 degrees. Profiled E and N aspects targeting the early February interface. This layer was 43 cm down on E and 60 cm down on N. ECTX on both slopes however on E the 1st loading step after the standard test got propagating results. Both produced PST END results with E 35/100 and N 40/100. Due east surfaces remained dry while any aspect south of east became moist.

Photos:

East aspect 10,000′

PST 35/100 (END) East 10,000′

North aspect, 9600′

PST 40/100 (END) North 9600′

RMBL Study Plot 2/26/20

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 02/26/2020
Subject: RMBL Study Plot 2/26/20
Elevation: 9500

Photos:

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Coney’s – propogating results

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 02/26/2020
Subject: Coney’s – propogating results
Aspect: East
Elevation: 9900

Weather: Sunny, cloud cover was BKN-, light wind from the south.

Snowpack: See snowpilot upload.

Photos:

Gothic Obs

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 02/26/2020
Name: Steve Banks
Subject: Gothic Obs
Aspect: North, East, South, South West
Elevation: 9,600-11,200

Avalanches: Wind slabs, persistent slabs, cornice falls and facet sluffs-we saw it all! Nothing from today, likely Feb 24/25. Large cornice falls triggering not so big slabs on NE facing very steep terrain on Gothic. A PS D2 viewed up on Rustlers Gulch ATL South Facing. Wind slabs on S facing of Belleview ATL. Full depth fast running Facet Sluff NE facing BTL in Copper Creek.

Weather: Sunny AM warmed nicely into the low 20’s. Light winds increased to moderate as clouds increased. Snow flurries by 14:00 with no accumulation Significant blowing snow again. Snow, wind and clouds dissipated as the sun set.

Snowpack: It’s shallow out here! Less snow and more facets than other drainages. Newly formed windboard in most exposed places. Closer to Gothic townsite the snowpack is 40-100 cms average. Depth improves as you move toward Baldy/Belleview. Recent storm totals near 30 cms at higher elevations, redistributed all over. New zipper sun crust formed today from green housing on southerly BTL/NTL slopes.

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MOUNTAIN WEATHER FOR 11,000FT. THURSDAY 2/27

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 02/27/2020

A weak shortwave trough located just east of the divide moved through overnight bringing a slightly warmer air mass, high clouds and very light snowfall to the highest elevations. As this trough quickly departs the region today, expect drier air to filter in with NW flow remaining in place. Light to moderate winds with occasional stronger gusts will be seen as the jet stream remains overhead.

Tonight will be clear, cold and calm as the ridge continues to push east ahead of our next weather maker. On Friday flow will begin to transition towards the SW as a large trough of low pressure makes it way onto the west coast. This system looks to cut off from the main flow and track southward across our area through the weekend which will increase our chances of measurable snowfall.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 25-30
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/NW G20
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0-trace
    Elkton Snow: 0-trace
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0-trace

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 5 to 10
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/WNW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 30 to 35
    Winds/Direction: 5-10/ W
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Near Gothic Mountain

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 02/26/2020
Name: Evan Ross
Subject: Near Gothic Mountain
Aspect: East, South
Elevation: 9,500-11,500

Weather: Clear sky in the morning, with increasing clouds and a few flakes in the afternoon. Winds remained light for our area. Didn’t notice much blowing snow.

Snowpack: Spent a good bit of time on SE in the 11,000-11,500ft elevation ban. 20cm of recent snow from last Sunday over a supportable crust. The early February Crusts could be felt with a prob about 45cm down. Those lower crusts felt well insulated and would need a heavy load to be effected. All in all, no current concerns were found in this terrain. HS was in the 145-150cm range.

Easterly terrain dropping toward the Gothic Valley was all messed up from the recent northerly winds. Those slopes had little cross-loading and had ugly wind effected snow surfaces. Unloading was the observed theme on these slopes, the same as on northerly slopes traveled on yesterday.

Looking around the area, the typical down valley winds didn’t appear to have formed from the recent northerly winds and cross-loading in the normal areas wasn’t observed.

Getting above the inversion

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 02/26/2020
Name: Zach Kinler

Aspect: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West, West, North West

Elevation: 9,000- 11,000

Avalanches:

One D2 wind slab on a cross-loaded west facing gully on Gothic. Fairly quiet on north and east aspects down the Ruby Range.

 

Weather: Cold start well below zero but once out of the valley bottom temps warmed into the upper 20s. Calm, clear conditions gave way to passing clouds, increased NW wind and very light flurries by 14:00 as a disturbance passed through.

Snowpack: At Elkton Study Plot HS: 160 cm. Most concerning layer is the 2/3 MFcr with 1.5 mm rounding facets below. No results on CT or ECT however a PST score of 45/100 END indicates the lingering possibility of propagation if failure could be initiated. Highly variable surfaces on the windward side of the compass as many features have been scoured leaving deposits nearby in gullies, inset features and behind ribs and trees.

Elkton Study Plot

Gothic west side with a recent avalanche and evidence of recent winds.

 

Teocalli Avalanche

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Brush Creek Area
Date of Observation: 02/26/2020
Name: Eric Murrow
Subject: Teocalli Avalanche
Aspect: South East, South
Elevation: above treeline

Avalanches: Spotted a recent avalanche on the sunny side of Teocalli in the early morning. Photo is a bit blurry but through binoculars, it appeared as though the crown was drifted over a bit. Likely failed sometime on 2/25. It also released a  slab in the apron out of view on SE aspect which looks to have failed in old snow as well.

Photos:

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Wednesday 2/26

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 02/26/2020

Overnight low temperatures are around the negative teens in the valleys and negative single digits in the mountains. For both Wednesday and Thursday, we’ll continue sitting under cold north to northwest flow. 11,000ft temperatures should rebound to near 20 degrees and the sun will sure help fight the cold. Unfortunately, the pressure gradient aloft doesn’t fully relax so we’ll still have that bitter cold northerly winds at upper elevations.

For the cloud forecast, Wednesday is starting out nice and clear. By the afternoon there is moisture pushing into northern Colorado and we can expect increasing clouds in the afternoon. A similar trend looks to be in the forecast for Thursday.

A high-pressure ridge moves in on Friday and we’ll see dry weather and rising temperatures. The next Pacific storm will be brewing off the cost over the weekend and we’ll moisture pushing in by Sunday and a return to snow in the forecast.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 19 to 23
    Winds/Direction: 7 to 17/NW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to Trace
    Elkton Snow: 0 to Trace
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to Trace

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 2 to 6
    Winds/Direction: 7 to 17, NW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 24 to 28
    Winds/Direction: 7 to 7/NW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0