Small Avalanches And Great Snow

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 03/09/2020
Name: Zack Kinler & Evan Ross
Subject: Small Avalanches And Great Snow
Aspect: North, North East, South, South West
Elevation: 9,000-12,000

Avalanches: A couple fresh Loose Wet avalanches that were small in size on southerly facing terrain at 10,000ft. Skier triggered several small and thin Wind Slabs at upper elevation northerly facing slopes near ridge lines.

Weather: Light winds, mostly cloudy, with some nice windows of sun to improve visibility and heat the snow surface on sunny slopes.

Snowpack: Northerly terrain offered up excellent riding conditions with only some small avalanche problems on wind-loaded terrain. Recent storm totals were 5″ at 10,500ft. In general that new snow was bonding well with old snow surfaces and no avalanche concerns were found at mid and lower elevations. Nearing ridgeline in the 11,500-12,000ft range, grapple and storm instabilities were found in the recent snow. Interestingly, some skier triggered crowns propagated fairly wide and were only 2″ thick. Right near ridgeline were there was just a little extra wind-loading some crowns neared 6″. All and all this avalanche problem was small and easy to manage. In 40+ degree terrain near ridgeline, triggering was easy and would clean out the hazard. On upper 30-degree slopes near ridgeline, these slabs were slow-moving and easy to ski through our out of if triggered. This avalanche problem could grow slightly in size with the little forecasted snow, but at the same time, I’d expect that same interface to become more stubborn to trigger.

In the late afternoon, low elevation southerly slopes were again wet and punchy. If you encountered that same snowpack on steep terrain, a small loose snow avalanche could gouge deeper into the snowpack and accumulate mass.

Cement

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Cement Creek Area
Date of Observation: 03/09/2020
Name: Cosmo
Subject: Cement
Elevation: 9300-12000

Weather: Partly cloudy and pretty warm. Storm totals ranged from <1” down low to 2.5 or 3 inches up higher.

Snowpack: Variable. All aspects had some kind of crust, though north facing slopes up high the crust was pretty minimal. Had one collapse with shooting cracks late in the afternoon on low angle SE facing terrain at 10000’. Failed on crust about 20 cm down from snow surface. Cracks ran about 40 yards across the slope along a convexity and about 25 or 30 yards down slope. Snow surface and collapsed later were very wet. Below 10k’ snowpack is pretty rotten.

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Monday 3/9

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 03/09/2020

The small trough that produced about 1 to 4” of snow in the last 24hr is now heading east. The upper atmosphere has dried out on Monday morning, while low-level moisture is holding clouds and some very light snow over our forecast area this morning. It looks like that low-level moisture is going to hang around for the majority of the day keeping us on the mostly cloudy side of the line. Upper-level clouds will just start to increase this afternoon as well. We’ve seen another small dip in temperatures behind the trough passage as well.

The closed low is still hanging off the coast of California. That low will spit moisture into our area throughout the week, though the pattern is a bit sporadic and not exactly set on how its all going to play out. Tuesday looks like the next organized chance of snow and accumulations across the forecast area look to be in the 1 to 4” range again. Unsettled weather could return again on Wednesday, Thursday looks a bit transitional, then Friday into Saturday morning could have some better snow totals. On Friday the closed low turns into an open wave and moves across the desert Southwest. This storm looks like it will be far to our south but we have a reasonable chance to see some good moisture pushed into our area.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 30 to 34
    Winds/Direction: 8 to 18/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 18 to 22
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 30 to 34
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20/W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 2 to 4
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 3
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 1 to 3

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Sunday 3/8

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 03/08/2020

What is going on with the weather this week? Well, basically old man weather gave a small child a low powered squirt gun and sent him to go play off the west coast of California. That child has no rime or reason for his actions and is sporadically spraying down the Western US. Sunday afternoon and the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe appear to be the best-organized weather out of this mess and our best chances for accumulating snowfall. Unfortunately, these don’t appear to be big snow numbers. Though, springtime convection could lead to some more intense pulses of snow and help add up some new snow.

Other than that, we are sitting under southwest flow and high temperatures will drop 10 to 15 degrees as compared to the last few days. Clouds look to decrease a bit on Monday and hopefully, we have a couple of fresh inches of snow by then. By next Friday that small child off the west coast will finally start moving across the desert southwest in the form of a low-pressure system. There is hope that we could see a good storm during that time, but we’ll have to wait several days to see how that system is going to track across the US.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 31 to 35
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/SW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 1 to 3
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 3
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 23 to 27
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 29 to 33
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

A wet mess, to a sea of crusts, to pow, and a Mosquito ❤️

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Brush Creek Area
Date of Observation: 03/07/2020
Name: Evan Ross & Zach Kinler
Subject: A wet mess, to a sea of crusts, to pow, and a Mosquito
Aspect: North East, East
Elevation: 9,000-11,500
Avalanches: A few small wet loose avalanches from yesterday on steep south facing slopes.
Weather: Partly cloudy with intense sun at times and a cooler feel with clouds other times. Calm winds throughout the day, until gaining ridgeline in the afternoon with a light southwesterly breeze.
Snowpack: Low elevations were a wet mess and generally unsupportive to boot. We got out of that by climbing up some below treeline ENE facing slopes where a colder and deeper snowpack provided a bit more support but still not supportive to boots in many spots. The upper 8cm’s was wet. By the time we moved into more easterly facing terrain at 11,000ft the snow surface was already crusting back over. Here, moist snow was found all the way to the ground, and water had recently moved through the upper snowpack and was pooling around the 2/3 crust down ~50cm. Once that upper snowpack refreezes there will be no more concern for Persistent Slabs breaking deeply into the snowpack until the upper snowpack either melts back down or we see a very large loading event. We finished on NE facing terrain, on those slopes anything with a slight easterly tilt or the low angles had a thin crust on the snow surface.

Wet Avalanche issues were the main concern we encountered.

East, 11,100′ Brush Creek area

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Saturday 3/7

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 03/07/2020

Our next weather maker is a mid-level trough that is currently coming onshore over the west coast. That thing is putting Colorado in warm southwest flow for Saturday and sending a little moisture our way this afternoon that will lead to some increased clouds. Daytime heating may lead to some convective cloud formation and remind us that we are moving into spring. Any associated precipitation looks to arrive late afternoon or in the evening. Initial precipitation could be in the liquid form before temperatures have had a chance to drop. Outside of just the right convective shower lining up, we are not looking at much precipitation.

Saturday night temperatures will finally cool and we could see a couple of inches of snow adding up by Sunday afternoon. Sunday high temperatures will be significantly cooler than what we have seen over the last week and land near the freezing mark.

Dryer air looks to move in for Monday, followed by a return of moisture and precipitation for the midweek.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 41 to 45
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/SW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 22 to 26
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/SSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 30 to 34
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

Small Wet Slab

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 03/06/2020
Subject: Small Wet Slab
Aspect: East
Elevation: 10,600ft
Avalanches:

A small Wet Slab Avalanche on an east aspect below treeline.

2nd Bowl Snodgrass

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 03/06/2020
Subject: 2nd Bowl Snodgrass
Aspect: East
Elevation: ~10000

Avalanches: Small shallow slide observed on the ridgeline to the skiers left of 2nd Bowl entrance. I took an alternate route down and did not get a great visual but appeared to be natural, R1D1 and very close to the location of the much larger 2-18 Snodgrass slide.

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft Friday, March 6th

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 03/06/2020

A ridge axis will push over the area today bringing in warm SW flow ahead of the next storm system off the coast of California. Above-average temperatures will continue today with light SW winds. High clouds will begin to move through the area by the afternoon. Overnight temperatures will cool to the mid-teens to low 20s under light SW flow and partly cloudy skies. Tomorrow, clouds will increase ahead of a mid-level low-pressure system moving onshore. This will bring a slight increase in wind from the SW and slightly cooler temperatures as cloud cover may limit heating.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 42 to 46
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 17 to 21
    Winds/Direction: 3-13/SSW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 40 to 45
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/SW
    Sky Cover: Increasing clouds
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

Cornice Triggered Avalanche Mt Owen

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 03/05/2020
Name: Joey Carpenter
Subject: Cornice Triggered Avalanche Mt Owen
Aspect: North, North East, South
Elevation: 11.4-12.8

Avalanches: Large cornice fall (estimated) late yesterday triggered widely propagating slab in recent storm snow. R2D2.5 The spx in the E facing gut off Owen was basically destroyed from the massive blocks running through. First photo from toe of debris pile shows the multiple smaller storm slabs that released as a result of the massive impact from the cornice failure. Second photo from the bench below Scarps Ridge shows the lower storm slab released by the huge chunks bouncing (bounce impressions indicated in green) past the end of the debris pile, over the next roll and onto the bench (blocks indicated in orange). The last photo, with sled for reference, shows how large these pieces were (these are the blocks indicated in orange in previous photo). The three remaining chunks that hadn’t been destroyed over their 1500 vertical foot journey downhill were still about the size of small sedans.

Weather: Single digits to start the day at the TH but rapid warming. By the time we were on our second ascent of the morning, it was skinning/booting in tshirt weather. Snow near rock out croppings was beginning to let go although we didn’t observe any rollers from snow surface warming.

Snowpack: Southern ascent held a firm base, with boot top penetration through a ~5cm breakable crust. N & NE snow surfaces have settled to 7-9 inches of snow and feel much more “wintery” than solar exposures. Overall supportive spx with no underfoot signs to instability. The cornice fall did indicate there are still some surface slabs that could potentially release but may require intense impact to do so.

Photos:

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