Mountain Weather March 21, 2018

Date: 03/21/2018

“The Dude,” the strong closed low that’s been parked over the Pacific for the last week, if preparing for the final bowling frame. The big question is will it be a strike, a spare, or a gutter ball.
Today will be warmer than the last couple days, but otherwise quite similar as the waning hours of the recent “dirty ridge” of high pressure passes overhead. Expect on and off clouds, moderate winds and temperatures climbing to above freezing at 11,000′, even a chance for a localized flurry or two over the high peaks.
By tonight, the ridge axis passes overhead, and the southwest flow in front of the Dude’s final approach begins to usher in warm air and significant moisture. Tomorrow the moisture and clouds arrive as a southern split off the main atmospheric river presently impacting the coast. Precipitation will begin as rain up to around 11,000′, transitioning to dense snow by tomorrow night. The main system will track to our north, so here in the Elk Mountains we’ll see swampy conditions with precipitation driven primarily by southwest orographics, which means the snowfall will be much greater in the high country than in town.
For you Grand Traverse-o-philes, the models are currently projecting storm totals by mid-day Friday of around 4″ of snow in town, 12″ at Star Pass and 10″ at Taylor Pass. Bring your glob-stopper and don’t expect to skate ski your way over the Elk Mountains.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 30
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, West
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 15
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, West
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 35
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, gusting to 30, West Southwest
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2″, starting as rain below 11,000′
    Elkton Snow: 0-2″, starting as rain below 11,000′
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0-2″, starting as rain below 11,000′

Mountain Weather March 20, 2018

Date: 03/20/2018

Northwest flow will continue for Tuesday with clouds filtering into the area throughout the day. Air temps will rise from yesterday to more normal highs. Clouds and warmer air will continue into Wednesday. The next hit of snow comes by Friday morning with Thursday acting as a transition day. Get ready for more pow this weekend; winter has not given up on us just yet.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 30
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, West
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 13
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, West
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 37
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, West
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Mountain Weather March 19, 2018

Date: 03/19/2018

Yesterday’s storm has now passed the area and moved well to the east into the Great Plains. Northwest flow has kicked in and air temperatures have dropped considerably. Clouds will filter through today with the potential for orographic snow across high terrain to the west and north of town with the possibility of just a skiff of accumulation. A ridge of high-pressure builds for Tuesday through Thursday.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 22
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, Northwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 6
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, Northwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 28
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, West
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Mountain Weather March 18, 2018

Date: 03/18/2018

Another round of winter is wobbling like a top towards Crested Butte. Snowfall will ramp up after the noon hour; right about the time the costume wearing fun freaks at the AJ start racing. This system might be a bit unpredictable and could produce bursts of intense snowfall during the afternoon especially along the spine of the Ruby Range from Irwin to Schofield Pass.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 28
    Winds/Direction: 7 to 17
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 4 to 7
    Elkton Snow: 4 to 7
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 3 to 5

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 10
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20 G30, Northwest
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 3 to 5
    Elkton Snow: 3 to 5
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 2 to 4

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 23
    Winds/Direction: 7 to 17
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

Mountain Weather March 17, 2018

Date: 03/17/2018

Today will begin with mostly clear skies with clouds increasing throughout the day in front of the next storm system which arrives later tonight. Air temperatures will warm to near or just above the freezing mark. A slight chance for a few snowflakes is possible late in the day. “The Dudes” next bowling ball closed low will begin impacting the area in earnest tonight and into tomorrow.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 34
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 15 to 20
    Winds/Direction: 7 to 17, South-Southwest
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 25 to 30
    Winds/Direction: 7 to 17
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 3 to 6
    Elkton Snow: 3 to 6
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 2 to 5

Mountain Weather March 16, 2018

Date: 03/16/2018

Here we are, 20 years after the Big Lebowski. Coincidentally, there’s a large upper-atmosphere low-pressure system, let’s just call it “the Dude,” that’s bowling a series of closed lows across the western US this week into next. Each frame will bring a shot of snow, cooler temps and wind.
The first of these bowling balls crashed through Colorado yesterday, dropping well over a foot at Wolf Creek Pass, and 3 to 8 inches of fresh pow around the upper Gunnison Valley. Irwin picked up 5″, Schofield 8″, CBMR 4″, Upper Taylor 2″.
Today the Dude knocks back a cold one, while we sit under a brief shot of high pressure. Tomorrow the Dude bowls the next storm our way, spinning in Saturday night into Sunday.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 25
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, gusting to 30, West
    Sky Cover: Decreasing clouds
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 3″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 3″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 15
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, South
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 35
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, gusting to 35, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Mountain Weather March 15, 2018

Date: 03/15/2018

An active week of weather started last night with a dribble, of rain that is. Freezing levels sat well over 10,000′.
A large closed low off the Pacific coast will sling moisture towards Colorado several times over the next week, with the first wave arriving this afternoon escorted in by a potent cold front. That means we can expect a good burst of snow and dropping temperatures beginning mid-afternoon, with snowfall ending by tomorrow morning.
Friday through Saturday morning, we’ll see a brief window of high pressure before our next storm lines up for Saturday night into Sunday.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 34
    Winds/Direction: 10-20, gusting to 40 in the PM, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 3 to 5″
    Elkton Snow: 3 to 6″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 1 to 3″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 10
    Winds/Direction: 20-30, gusting to 45, West
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 3 to 6″
    Elkton Snow: 4 to 8″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 2 to 4″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 25
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, gusting to 30, West
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1″

Mountain Weather March 14, 2018

Date: 03/14/2018

Clouds and atmospheric moisture will begin to push out the ridge of high pressure from the past two days. Once the clouds build, expect that chance for some isolated snow showers in the afternoon. Air temperatures will rise from the past two days to near record levels. Exact high temps will depend on the level of sunshine versus cloud cover but will exceed 40 degrees. Winds will be on the increase as the next storm moves in. The brunt of the moisture will arrive during the day on Thursday and continue through Friday evening.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 42
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 25
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 32
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 2 to 4
    Elkton Snow: 2 to 4
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 2 to 4

Mountain Weather March 13, 2018

Date: 03/13/2018

Today a high-pressure ridge will build into our area from the west. The sky will be partly cloudy with a healthy dose of sunshine. Expect temperatures to rise a few degrees warmer than yesterday. High temperatures will reach the warmest of the season. Spring has arrived in the Gunnison Valley.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 39
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, West
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 22
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 43
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft March 12th, 2018

Date: 03/12/2018

Looks like we have a beautiful day coming up, with a very weak disturbance passing this afternoon. Look for some clouds to build in the afternoon and westerly winds to pick up a little. Otherwise, winds have been light and variable and conditions generally mild. A High-pressure ridge will take hold after this little disturbance and keep the area high and dry until the midweek. Tuesday will really be a lovely spring day if you can make it out. The long range forecast has a big low-pressure system churning around out in the Pacific. What we don’t know about this big low-pressure system is what it will look like when it eventually moves inland, and how it will track across the US. What we do know about it, is that it will spin off waves of moisture before it moves inland. The first wave of moisture looks to bring increasing clouds Wednesday afternoon/evening and maybe a little snow.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 36
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, West
    Sky Cover: Increasing clouds
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 20
    Winds/Direction: 0 to 10, variable
    Sky Cover: Increasing clouds
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 38
    Winds/Direction: 0 to 10, variable
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0