Mountain Weather For 11,000FT. Wednesday 3/11

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/11/2020

A low-pressure system just off the southern California coast forced a blob of moisture towards Colorado that will impact the area today and tonight. Clouds will be on the increase this morning as the moisture builds. Along with the southwest moisture, a shortwave disturbance will push through the northern part of Colorado during the second part of the day helping to produce accumulating snowfall. Snow totals over the next 36 hours look to be minimal but maybe just enough to improve surface conditions.

A short period of drier weather will develop during the second part of Thursday through Friday morning before a stronger and wetter system arrives in Colorado. A healthy stream of moisture is associated with this weather maker, but the bullseye will likely be over the San Juan Mountains. Look for better details and snow totals tomorrow morning. Keep your fingers crossed for a powder day this weekend.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 35 to 39
    Winds/Direction: 8-18/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0-2″
    Elkton Snow: 0-2″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0-2″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 21 to 25
    Winds/Direction: 8-18/W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0-2″
    Elkton Snow: 0-2″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0-2″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 35 to 39
    Winds/Direction: 6-16/W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0-1″
    Elkton Snow: 0-1″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0-1″

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Tuesday 3/10

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/10/2020

A large cutoff low continues to slowly churn off the coast of California which will push moisture into our region today. A separate shortwave trough will move through the northern and central mountains today, interacting with this moisture and giving us another shot of snowfall. Amounts look to be less than 5″ which will provide a nice refresh to our snowpack. Overnight snowfall will taper off but clouds will stick around as moisture continues to move through in WSW flow.

On Wednesday, the cut off low slowly moves onshore feeding moisture into the region with light snow showers ramping back up. Temperatures will be warm with the Pacific moisture so accumulations are again expected to be light but provide a nice refresh.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 30 to 35
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/WSW G25
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 2 to 4″
    Elkton Snow: 2 to 4″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 1 to 3″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 18 to 22
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 10 WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 32 to 37
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 10 WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 1 to 3″
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 2″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 1 to 2″

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Monday 3/9

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/09/2020

The small trough that produced about 1 to 4” of snow in the last 24hr is now heading east. The upper atmosphere has dried out on Monday morning, while low-level moisture is holding clouds and some very light snow over our forecast area this morning. It looks like that low-level moisture is going to hang around for the majority of the day keeping us on the mostly cloudy side of the line. Upper-level clouds will just start to increase this afternoon as well. We’ve seen another small dip in temperatures behind the trough passage as well.

The closed low is still hanging off the coast of California. That low will spit moisture into our area throughout the week, though the pattern is a bit sporadic and not exactly set on how its all going to play out. Tuesday looks like the next organized chance of snow and accumulations across the forecast area look to be in the 1 to 4” range again. Unsettled weather could return again on Wednesday, Thursday looks a bit transitional, then Friday into Saturday morning could have some better snow totals. On Friday the closed low turns into an open wave and moves across the desert Southwest. This storm looks like it will be far to our south but we have a reasonable chance to see some good moisture pushed into our area.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 30 to 34
    Winds/Direction: 8 to 18/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 18 to 22
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 30 to 34
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20/W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 2 to 4
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 3
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 1 to 3

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Sunday 3/8

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/08/2020

What is going on with the weather this week? Well, basically old man weather gave a small child a low powered squirt gun and sent him to go play off the west coast of California. That child has no rime or reason for his actions and is sporadically spraying down the Western US. Sunday afternoon and the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe appear to be the best-organized weather out of this mess and our best chances for accumulating snowfall. Unfortunately, these don’t appear to be big snow numbers. Though, springtime convection could lead to some more intense pulses of snow and help add up some new snow.

Other than that, we are sitting under southwest flow and high temperatures will drop 10 to 15 degrees as compared to the last few days. Clouds look to decrease a bit on Monday and hopefully, we have a couple of fresh inches of snow by then. By next Friday that small child off the west coast will finally start moving across the desert southwest in the form of a low-pressure system. There is hope that we could see a good storm during that time, but we’ll have to wait several days to see how that system is going to track across the US.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 31 to 35
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/SW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 1 to 3
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 3
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 23 to 27
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 29 to 33
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Saturday 3/7

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/07/2020

Our next weather maker is a mid-level trough that is currently coming onshore over the west coast. That thing is putting Colorado in warm southwest flow for Saturday and sending a little moisture our way this afternoon that will lead to some increased clouds. Daytime heating may lead to some convective cloud formation and remind us that we are moving into spring. Any associated precipitation looks to arrive late afternoon or in the evening. Initial precipitation could be in the liquid form before temperatures have had a chance to drop. Outside of just the right convective shower lining up, we are not looking at much precipitation.

Saturday night temperatures will finally cool and we could see a couple of inches of snow adding up by Sunday afternoon. Sunday high temperatures will be significantly cooler than what we have seen over the last week and land near the freezing mark.

Dryer air looks to move in for Monday, followed by a return of moisture and precipitation for the midweek.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 41 to 45
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/SW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 22 to 26
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/SSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 30 to 34
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft Friday, March 6th

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/06/2020

A ridge axis will push over the area today bringing in warm SW flow ahead of the next storm system off the coast of California. Above-average temperatures will continue today with light SW winds. High clouds will begin to move through the area by the afternoon. Overnight temperatures will cool to the mid-teens to low 20s under light SW flow and partly cloudy skies. Tomorrow, clouds will increase ahead of a mid-level low-pressure system moving onshore. This will bring a slight increase in wind from the SW and slightly cooler temperatures as cloud cover may limit heating.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 42 to 46
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 17 to 21
    Winds/Direction: 3-13/SSW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 40 to 45
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/SW
    Sky Cover: Increasing clouds
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

Mountain Weather For 11,000FT. Thursday 3/5

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/05/2020

The weather sure has been pleasant the past few days and that trend will continue for today and Friday. The only slight changes in the weather will be temperatures a few degrees warmer and winds decreasing a bit from yesterday. The warm temperatures will continue into Saturday, but cloud cover is expected to increase ahead of the next incoming system.

The next snow producer should start dropping snowflakes on Sunday morning. This system is forecasted to be fairly warm with very modest snowfall totals. Its a bit early to toss out snowfall accumulation numbers, but hopefully, it provides a decent refresh to surface conditions. Weather models are suggesting a second system impacting the area during the middle of next week.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 38 to 42
    Winds/Direction: 4-14/WNW
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 15 to 19
    Winds/Direction: 2-12/SW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 39 to 43
    Winds/Direction: 2-12/W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

Mountain Weather For 11,000FT. Wednesday 3/4

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/04/2020

Another beautiful day is on tap with ample sunshine and seasonally warm temperatures. Much like yesterday, moderate winds may greet you at upper elevations. Temperatures look to edge slightly higher from yesterday as a ridge of high pressure continues to build. As the trough axis slides a bit more eastward on Thursday the area will develop southwest flow which will bring even warmer air into the area. High temperatures on Thursday, and especially Friday, will likely reach the warmest of the season.

The next chance of accumulating precipitation is roughly scheduled for Sunday.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 33 to 37
    Winds/Direction: 8 -18/W
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 14 to 18
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/NW
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 35 to 39
    Winds/Direction: 2 to 12/W
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

Mountain Weather For 11,000FT. Tuesday 3/3.

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/03/2020

Yesterday’s sneaky and productive storm has moved on from the area overnight and brought cooler temperatures this morning from clearer overnight skies. Overall the weather will be relatively benign for the next few days as a ridge of high pressure builds over the area. Moisture from the Pacific Northwest will get directed north of Colorado with no real chance of precipitation. Air temperatures will steadily climb over the next three days and will likely reach the warmest of the season or very close to it.

The next possibility for accumulating snowfall will likely be next weekend. Enjoy the sunny skies and warmer temperatures through the end of the workweek.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 29 to 33
    Winds/Direction: 7-17/NW
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 9 to 13
    Winds/Direction: 8-18/ENE
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 31 to 35
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/02/2020

Sure is a nice surprise for an uncertain storm plagued by poor model agreement to over-deliver. The cold front stalled overnight right where it needed to, and snow will linger in the highest terrain benefitted by orographic enhancement this morning, and we may see a few snow showers this afternoon as well, spurred on by convection and daytime heating (much like summertime thunderstorms). Westerly winds will slowly decrease throughout the day as last night’s storm departs eastward. Expect cooler air will linger today and tomorrow, before a gradual but steady warm up this week under high pressure. Next weekend looks to be the next snowmaker, but details are sketchy at this point.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 20 to 25
    Winds/Direction: 10-20/W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 1-3″ AM
    Elkton Snow: 1-3″ AM
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 1-3″ AM

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 15 to 20
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/W
    Sky Cover: Decreasing clouds
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 25-30
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/W
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0