Surprise

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 01/10/2020
Subject: Surprise
Aspect: North, East
Elevation: ATL, BTL

Avalanches: None seen, some small surface sluffs on SE aspect that didn’t go far

Weather: Broken, was snowing pretty good when we left around noon.

Snowpack: I’d call it 12-14 new total in some spots, light with some minor sluffing from turns in steeper terrain.

 

Incremental Loading And Human Triggered Avalanches

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 01/10/2020
Name: Evan Ross
Subject: Incremental Loading And Human Triggered Avalanches
Aspect: North, East, South
Elevation: 9,000-11,300

Avalanches: Human triggered two Persistent Slab Avalanches, failing on facets near the middle of the snowpack, on easterly to northeasterly aspects. Both of the slopes that these small avalanches failed on, had avalanched previously this winter and are now just starting to build soft slabs again above the weak layer. 2xSS-AM-R1-D1-O.

Weather: Mostly Cloudy to Obscured. An orographic cloud kept moving in and out, while areas closer to Crested Butte looked to have fewer clouds. Calm Winds. Mostly S-1.

Snowpack: No obvious signs to instability through most of the terrain traveled. The exception was on slopes with a well below average total snowpack height and a considerably weaker snowpack. I’d estimate that these slopes previously avalanched around Mid-December, leaving them shallow and further weakening through the Mid-December dry spell. The soft slab above consisted of the late December and/or January snow. Recent storm totals were around 7-8″ in this area.

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 01/10/2020

Large scale troughiness will continue, keeping the door open to a series of passing light snow events through the weekend into next week. This morning will be a short respite from yesterday’s opening set, with another round of snow showers and flurries this afternoon. No real accumulations are expected but may see an increase in clouds and winds with this passing ripple. Next more notable storm looks to be on deck for Saturday afternoon. Enjoy the cold temperatures and light northwest winds with some shots of sunshine today before more clouds and snow tomorrow with westerly winds ramping in the afternoon. Saturday’s storm details are still emerging but looks like a system carrying more moisture than the last for the Elk Mountains and bringing with it 4-8″ of snow by Sunday.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 10-15
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/NW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 0-5
    Winds/Direction: 10-20/NW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 15-20
    Winds/Direction: 10-20/NW
    Sky Cover: Increasing clouds
    Irwin Snow: 2-4″ PM
    Elkton Snow: 1-3:” PM
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 1-3″ PM

Lap on the Grass

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 01/09/2020
Name: Elias G
Subject: Lap on the Grass
Aspect: North, North East, East, South East
Elevation: 9600′ – 11,000′

Avalanches: Old crown lines that are filling back in, D .5-1 on convexities/rollovers, N facing BTL terrain.

Weather: Overcast and a bit obscured all day, S-1, calm with temps. in mid teens.

Snowpack: 1″ new snow overnight. Crust on E/SE aspects BTL, now under an 1″ of new (slick w/ new snow), ~ 1-2cm thick perhaps slightly thicker in more open terrain, was supportable to ski in spots but punchy to boot pen. Small size loose dry avalanching on steeper northerly slopes, not enough to bury a person but can run a good distance down slope.
Still fun and surfy out there!

Check On West

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 01/08/2020
Name: Evan Ross
Subject: Check On West
Aspect: West, North West
Elevation: 10,500ft-11,800ft

Weather: Overcast through most of the day, becoming partly cloudy in the late afternoon. Calm winds increased southwest in the late afternoon with snow plums off the high peaks. A few facets were blowing around in my area but there wasn’t much snow left to transport.

Snowpack: A concerning snowpack definitely exists on westerly slopes, but this setup is more isolated in the terrain when looking big picture and not as pronounced as some other aspects. The goal was to check snowpack structure and get more details about the concerning snowpack structure on west, but I couldn’t find a representable snowpack that was also in a safe location. Gully type terrain features near treeline are where the most concerning slab/weak layer characteristics existed in the terrain. Otherwise, snowpack structure was highly variable from all the past wind events and less concerning.

hoar, suncrusts, pow

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 01/08/2020
Subject: hoar, suncrusts, pow
Aspect: North, North East, East, South East, South
Elevation: 9200-11400

Avalanches: no new observed

Weather: chilly and blustery throughout the day

Snowpack: suncrust on southerlies was almost stout enough to support a skier at some points, but just soft enough to always break through and make for some creative turning. Growing surface hoar widely present north facing down low until maybe 10,500 or so, see blurry photo. Toured and skied north facing snow in the playground area and observed no signs of instability, with conditions ranging from supportive pow to wind stiffened pow to breaker windslab.

Photos:

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft, Thursday 1/9

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 01/09/2020

The shallow trough axis, which gave us the last little dusting of snow, is now headed east. A partly cloudy sky is overhead early this morning as we await the next push of moisture. A much larger low-pressure trough is next in line and moving across the mountain west. We’ll see moisture levels increasing today with thickening clouds. A couple inches of snow are in the forecast for this afternoon and tonight. Unfortunately, the storm energy with this low pressure will be far to our south. So we have the moisture, but we don’t have much of the other weather factors to turn it into good snow accumulations. Winds will also drop during this period.

On Friday we’ll see dryer weather under northerly flow. Winds will also take an increase for a brief period on Friday. That dry weather will last into Saturday morning. Thankfully the storms keep coming and the next is in line for Saturday. Snow looks to get going Saturday mid-day or afternoon and continue overnight. Saturday’s storm looks to have the best snow accumulations for this period.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 18 to 22
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 1 to 2
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: Trace to 2

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 4 to 8
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, WNW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 1 to 3
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 3
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 1 to 2

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 16 to 20
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, NW
    Sky Cover: Decreasing clouds
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

PM Skook

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 01/08/2020
Name: Joey Carpenter
Subject: PM Skook
Aspect: North, North East, East
Elevation: 9k-11.4k

Avalanches: One loose dry slough triggered from the ridge that had decent momentum and ran ~600 feet. Collected a good amount of snow, passed through trees & over a small rock band. Certainly enough to carry someone but not enough to bury them. R1D1.5

Weather: Wx couldn’t decide what it wanted to do this afternoon with the incoming storm. Started OVC/cool/calm, shifted to clear/calm, then BKN/20mph W wind, back to BKN/CALM, back to OVC/20MPH SW wind.

Snowpack: There was Moderate flagging as the wind was coming from the west. Some small stiff pockets as we traversed the ridge but protected areas remained creamy and generally unconsolidated/weak in the upper 25~35cm (est). Didn’t dig but pole probes could feel the firmer snow beneath the xmas and new years storms.

Ruby Range Obs

CB Avalanche Center2019-20 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 01/08/2020
Name: Ian Havlick
Subject: Ruby Range Obs
Aspect: East, South East, South, South West, West
Elevation: 10-12,000ft

Avalanches: none.

Weather: Overcast skies in AM, then scattered skies with big jump in wind, late in day clouds redeveloped to overcast. West winds increased with gusts into the 60s this afternoon. Significant transport all elevations, thin windslabs developing late in day, but largely more distribution and sublimation than slab building.

Snowpack: no signs of instability, no crust formation, surface snow continues to facet. Recent bump in wind (re)moving any loose snow from all elevations