Date of Observation: 12/15/2016
Name: Arden Feldman
Aspect: North East
Elevation: 9760
Avalanches: None
Weather: See Profile
Snowpack: See Profile
Avalanches: 5 harmless wet loose avalanches ran naturally on a SW aspect BTL. I could see a fresh D1.5 debris pile on a S aspect NTL, looked like it might have been a slab release but too far to see clearly.
Weather: Broken skies. Warm, greenhousing.
Snowpack: No signs of instability across various rollovers and steep roadcuts BTL. Mid-pack facet layers produced non-propagating results. The structure on southeast aspects appeared to be the most fragile for incoming loads. Northeast aspects could handle a larger load but will produce larger slides. See photos and captions
Avalanches: None.
Weather: Cloudy, calm, warm (25?).
Snowpack: Shallow with a spongy/wet layer between the old and new snow. 4″ powder on top of the spongy stuff. No slough, but didn’t ski over 35 degree pitch.
Date: 12/15/2016
We will see a short gasp of dry air this morning before unseasonably warm, southwesterly flow ushers in the main event. Temperatures at 5am are already in the upper 20s, and look to approach the upper 30s today. Heavy snowfall will start very warm, even potentially as R A I N below 10,000ft (we’re talking Crested Butte), before a sharp cold front acts as gas on the moist atmospheric fire and cranks the snow tomorrow before clearing out Saturday morning. Precipitation models are getting excited about this recipe, and while they may be going a bit heavy on the pinks and purples, 1-2 feet of snow look likely, with the potential for some impressive totals in the usual places (Schofield and Kebler Passes) by midday Saturday.
High Temperature: 38
Wind Speed: 10-25
Wind Direction: SW
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Snow: 0-1″
Low Temperature: 26
Wind Speed: 15-30 G 50
Wind Direction: SW, W
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Snow: 4-8″
High Temperature: 33
Wind Speed: 15-25
Wind Direction: W
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Snow: 12-15″
Avalanches: none observed
Weather: Overcast and warm. Windy conditions even below treeline
Snowpack: 58 cm right below treeline. Layered snowpack although relatively consolidated. I saw no signs of instability but there was snow being blown around even in the Aspen trees so I imagine there was a lot of transport up high. Thicker denser snow on the surface from temp and sun but low angle slopes helped to not allow the sunburst to develop.
Date: 12/14/2016
A skiff of snow fell overnight. A stationary front is parked just north of our forecast area, inhibiting favorable dynamics for snowfall. As moisture deepens through the day under west-southwest flow, we should see a couple inches of accumulation, favoring the Elk Divide to the northeast of town. Gusty alpine winds will accompany any new snow. Get excited for a powdery weekend ahead. A trough tapping into warm Pacific moisture approaches the Elks on Thursday. The first phase of the storm on Friday will be unusually warm, with the rain/snow line creeping near or above our valley floor. A strong cold front boosts dynamics and brings better snowfall production to all elevations on Friday night. Upwards of two feet of snow could accumulate by Saturday.
High Temperature: 28
Wind Speed: 12-22, G40
Wind Direction: SW, W
Sky Cover: Overcast
Snow: 1-3″
Low Temperature: 22
Wind Speed: 10-20 G40
Wind Direction: SW, W
Sky Cover: Overcast
Snow: 0-2″
High Temperature: 32
Wind Speed: 5-15
Wind Direction: SW, W
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Snow: 0
Avalanches: No recent avalanches observed across all bowls of Mt. Axtell or on northerly aspects of Carbon
Weather: Overcast, light to moderate westerly winds at ridgetop, with minimal snow transport observed.
Snowpack: See photo captions for detailed pit descriptions.
On NE aspects N/ATL. Extended column tests showed propagating results on basal facets/depth hoar, up to a meter deep. Non-propagating results on Dec 6th near surface facet layer, buried mid-pack. We triggered two large collapses on low angle slopes. We did not venture onto any steep terrain at these elevations.
On S/SW aspects N/BTL. The Dec 6th crust/facet layer produced about 5 rolling collapses up to 50+ feet long, but is buried only 6-12″ right now; not much of a slab. Propagating results.
On N/NE aspects BTL, the snowpack felt fairly uniform and soft, becoming progressively weaker with depth but with no distinct or sudden hardness changes. We traveled on several slopes steeper than 35 degrees with no signs of instability.
Date: 12/13/2016
Colorado remains in strong, westerly flow through most of the work week. Radar shows a lull in precipitation upstream of us in Utah and the next pulse of moisture moving onshore over California. Today, we’ll see mid to high level clouds and continued alpine winds with a few snow showers developing tonight. Deepening moisture will fuel a stronger pulse of snowfall tomorrow afternoon accompanied by strengthening winds. A large, closed low is lined up to deliver significant snowfall beginning Thursday night. Stay tuned.
High Temperature: 20
Wind Speed: 10-20, G35
Wind Direction: W
Sky Cover:Â Mostly cloudy
Snow: 0
Low Temperature: 15
Wind Speed: 10-20
Wind Direction: W
Sky Cover:Â Overcast
Snow: 1-3″
High Temperature: 25
Wind Speed: 12-22
Wind Direction: SW, W
Sky Cover: Overcast
Snow: 1-4″
Avalanches: We descended slopes up to ~38 degrees with no avalanche activity.
Weather:Â Broken skies, calm winds, no precip.
Snowpack: Hollow snowpack structure produced widespread cracking ~5 to 15 feet and localized collapsing. 12″, semi-supportive (on skis) soft slab over fist hard facets, consistent structure across all terrain that we traveled. Propagating results in ECT and PST. Small storm slab management still seems to apply here, and it felt like the slab is a little too soft/thin for avalanching or propagating on most features, except for very steep, unsupported, or wind stiffened slopes. Not much additional load needed here for widespread persistent slab issues.
Avalanches:
Weather: OVC, NW M>S as day progressed
Snowpack: ATL & BTL E-S-W No signs of instability, sleds roosting 35-40* & leaving troughs on the above mentioned terrain with no results. stomped on ridgelines of steep windloaded slopes (HS 80-110cm) no results
intensifying snow transport ~15:00, some quickly blown in tracks @ all elevations in open clearings