-ZG
February 10th – 16th: Warm Temperatures with Snow and Low Elevation Rain
By Arden Feldman CBAC Intern
The week started off balmy on February 10th with warm, moist southwest flow issuing in record high temperatures for the second day in a row. billy barr’s Gothic weather station recorded a record high of 48 degrees. A closed low off of the California coast began streaming unusually warm Pacific moisture into Colorado during the evening of the 10th. This caused increasing clouds and precipitation to filter into the region with strong winds. The freezing level was around 10,000 feet, so downtown Crested Butte and many below tree line slopes received rain, while higher elevations received dense snow. Winds on the 10th averaged 24 mph and gusted up to 89 mph at 11,000 ft. On the evening of the 11th, a cold front passed overhead sparking heavy snowfall and allowing temperatures to finally drop below freezing throughout the forecast area. By the morning of the 12th, 3” of SWE and 19” of snow had accumulated at Schofield Pass, and 14” of snow was reported at CBMR.
On the 12th, the atmospheric flow split around Colorado with the main flow to our north and the cut off low to our south. The low was still sending some leftover moisture into our area with a southerly flow, causing light snow showers.. The flow then began to dry out, beginning a clearing and warming trend through the rest of the week. On the 14th there was a high of 22F at 11,000 ft but by the 16th, there was a high of 44F with beautiful clear skies.
Persistent slabs on buried surface hoar layers on northerly and easterly aspects remained a problem this week. This week’s storm added a significant new load to the snowpack and tested the persistent weak layers, and we observed a handful of natural avalanches failing on buried surface hoar or facets again. The instabilities became increasingly isolated and stubborn through the week, but they were still present and sadly consequential, resulting in Colorado’s first fatality of the season in the Flat Tops. The storm also resulted in storm slab concerns, but few were reported likely due to the limited visibility during the storm.

2/14/17 – Persistent slab avalanche in the Flat Tops zone that resulted in the first avalanche fatality of the season in Colorado.
The warm temperatures and low elevation rain during the week resulted in wet avalanche problems. Relatively small but potentially consequential natural (here, here, here) and skier triggered wet loose avalanches were observed throughout the week, and with the rain below tree line, and several wet slab avalanches were also observed.
Fresh persistent slab in Red Lady Bowl
Date of Observation: 03/04/2017
Name: Zach Guy
Aspect: South East
Elevation: Near treeline
Avalanches: Fresh slab avalanche in Red Lady Bowl; first noticed the crown early this morning so I assume it was human triggered yesterday. It ran the full width of a relatively small feature mid-track in the bowl (SE aspect NTL), estimated 700 feet wide, 100 vertical, and 2 feet deep. SS-U-R1-D1.5-O
Weather: Strong SW winds. Few clouds. Temps rose into the 30’s.
Snowpack: Surface warming was minimal today on high elevation southerly aspects due to the strong winds, so no wet avalanche concerns where we traveled.
Mountain Weather
Date: 03/04/2017
The axis of high pressure passed overhead last night, opening the doors to warmer southwest flow ahead of the next Pacific trough. There is enough high-level moisture for a few thin clouds today, and winds will begin to increase. Tie down your children and small pets tomorrow, winds will be gusting beyond 60 mph as the trough makes landfall. Snowfall will spread into the Elk Mountains by Sunday evening, and we can look forward to a relatively modest refresh by Monday morning, in the 4-8″ range.
Today
High Temperature: 38
Wind Speed: 15-25, G40
Wind Direction: SW
Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
Snow: 0
Tonight
Low Temperature: 20
Wind Speed: 15-25, G40
Wind Direction: SW
Sky Cover: Increasing clouds
Snow: 0
Tomorrow
High Temperature: 32
Wind Speed: 20-30, G60
Wind Direction: SW
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Snow: 0-1″
Mt. Emmons
Date of Observation: 03/03/2017
Name: Donny
Aspect: North
Elevation: 9,000’ to 11,400′
Avalanches:
Weather: Clear, calm, and temps that got close to 0ºC.
Snowpack: Avg SkiPen: 10cm – Avg BootPen: 30cm. North aspects stayed cold and dry. Upper 15cm is faceting. No signs of instabilities.
Snodgrass
Date of Observation: 03/03/2017
Name:
Aspect: East
Elevation: BTL
Avalanches: Heavy loose snow slides at the bottom of Snodgrass’s 2nd bowl gully. 8″ of non cohesive snow broke loose and slid frequently on the previous windload from the evening before. This was mid day and exposed to sun most of the morning causing some pretty rapid snow changes.
Weather:
Snowpack:
D2 in Evan’s Basin
Date of Observation: 03/03/2017
Name: Jeff Banks
Aspect: East
Elevation: NTL
Avalanches: observed a new D2 east facing, steep ~40* below main ridge (no cornice) snowmobile triggered? tracks at the base. Did not see it yesterday when I spotted these slides pictured below. Here’s shots from the day before & another ~D1.5 that was hard to see
Weather:
Snowpack: Numerous small to medium collapses on windward side of ridge above Indy Basin on low angle terrain
Small wet loose
Date of Observation: 03/04/2017
Name: Zach Guy
Aspect: East, South, West
Elevation: 9,000 – 12,500
Avalanches: Small (D1) wet loose avalanches ran on E, S, and W aspects, all elevations. These all originated from steep, rocky areas and didn’t run very far.
Weather:
Snowpack:
minimal issues BTL SE,E
Date of Observation: 03/03/2017
Name: Evan Ross
Aspect: East, South East
Elevation: 9,300’ to 10,600′
Avalanches:
Weather: Clear, calm, strong solar.
Snowpack: On most slopes not much for concerning structure. Either hot-pow over old snow surfaces that could have been pulled out as a loose wet avalanche on steep slopes, or a faceting soft slab on protected east aspects over old snow surfaces. Wind loading on the right slope over some of the weak old snow surfaces would have been key to find a more significant avalanche problem in this area. This snow surfaces will be crusty tomorrow morning before the next round of warming.
Mountain Weather
Date: 03/03/2017
My mom called last night to remind everyone to reapply sunscreen through the day. A broad ridge of high pressure will shift east across the Continental U.S. over the weekend. Mountain temperatures will rise from the teens this morning to near freezing under sunny skies and light winds. A Pacific trough moves onshore on Sunday, bringing our next round of snowfall starting Sunday evening.
Today
High Temperature: 32
Wind Speed: 5-15
Wind Direction: SW, W
Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
Snow: 0
Tonight
Low Temperature: 20
Wind Speed: 5-15
Wind Direction: SW
Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
Snow: 0
Tomorrow
High Temperature: 34
Wind Speed: 10-20
Wind Direction: SW
Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
Snow: 0















