Elk and Evans Basin

CB Avalanche Center2017-18 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 02/07/2018
Name: Ian HAVLICK

Subject: Elk and Evans Basin
Aspect: North East, South East, South, South West, West
Elevation: 9000-12400

Avalanches:

Widespread storm slab crowns on anything steeper than 35º from yesterdays storm, east facing, near and below treeline. Did trigger 2 seperate persistent slab avalanches today, close proximity remote, from low angle ridgeline, with slides failing on steep ridgeline convexities. steep, unsupported east facing BTL and NTL. PS slabs released 15cm below new storm snow interface. Genuine windslabs were dense, but seemed to be gaining strength quickly atl. Biggest avalanche observed today looked to be 4th Bowl Mount Axtell, Natural, NE facing, ATL, looked like storm snow, but potentially PWL?

Weather: Clear skies, gusty west to northwest winds tapered mid afternoon. Intense solar all day, and became noticeable around 11am, especially in wind sheltered trees and southerly facing terrain. Temps stayed cold ATL, and light NW breeze continued on Scarp ridge as of 1500.
Snowpack: cold dry snow, 8-10″ from yesterdays storm in terrain travelled today. Steady and significant wind transport by westerly winds onto lee and crossloaded terrain. Lots of scouring in upper Evans Basin, and Redwell near and below Gunsight pass. Skiers Right of Gunsight looked to hold better snow. 4 large collapses while skiing within close proximity to 3 other skiers, south facing, BTL/NTL. Structure on southerlies is poor NTL, waiting for load. BTL southerlies, still very thin and cooked.

Photos:

Blue Bird and Mostly Wind Related Soft Slabs.

CB Avalanche Center2017-18 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 02/07/2018
Name: Evan Ross

Subject: Blue Bird and Mostly Wind Related Soft Slabs.
Aspect: East, South East, South, South West
Elevation: 9,600-11,800

Avalanches:

Looking around the range there was: A number off small loose dry avalanches on steep northeasterly and easterly terrain, mostly above 11,500ft. Noticed a few wet related loose snow avalanches on NTL elevation easterly to southeasterly aspects. Saw one natural soft slab avalanche on Red Lady Bowl not long after sunrise, small in size. Several small windslabs on southeasterly terrain below mineral point. One large soft slab avalanche below ridgeline on an easterly aspect near Angle Pass.

Skier triggered one wind slab at 10,600ft on an easterly aspect. Failure was within the new snow and not at the interface. 8″ to 12″ deep. About 300ft wide. WS-AS-R1-D1.5-S

Weather: Blue sky and sure nice to have some new snow. At 11,700 westerly winds were steady at moderate speeds. Drifting snow for sure, but surprisingly less then expected given the density of snow and a good majority of the snow already transported. Sun warmed some snow surfaces but cool temps and wind held the February sun’s strength back.
Snowpack: Personal tour not looking to deeply into things. Quiet snowpack on these aspects, no obvious sings to instability, mostly managing wind-loaded terrain. Didn’t get to aggressive on east, southerly were holding up well. Around a foot of new snow from the last storm in the area.

Photos:

Baldy

CB Avalanche Center2017-18 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 02/06/2018
Name: Mark Robbins

Subject:
Aspect: South East, South, South West, West
Elevation: 9,500-12,600

Avalanches:
Weather: snowing s1-s3 most of the morning. Strong northwest? winds all day with large snow plumes coming off of baldy and growing cornices, see photo.
Snowpack: New snow about 10 inches. Several small underfoot collapses on south facing skintrack 9,500-11,000. Wind drifting snow into leeward southeastern terrain near and above treeline. We skied southern through western aspects with no results save one very small pocket of storm snow on a convex roll, see photo. Also skied and skinned a few inconsequential southeastern wind loaded pockets, and while it felt slabby underfoot we got zero results.

Photos:

Mountain Weather February 7, 2018

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 02/07/2018

A strong ridge of Pacific High pressure will keep all of Colorado under a Northwest flow. Locally that means a few high thin clouds riding over the high peaks, but overall a gorgeous breezy day with lots of sun.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 25
    Winds/Direction: 15 to 25, West Northwest, with stronger gusts as you move east towards the Continental Divide
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 10, colder in the valley floor
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, Northwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 30
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, Northwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Mountain Weather February 7, 2018

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 02/07/2018

The big Pacific high pressure will keep the jet stream pouring over the top, holding us under a steady northwest flow. We can expect a cloud or two over the high peaks, but overall a gorgeous breezy day with a lot of sun.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 25
    Winds/Direction: 15-25, West Northwest, gusting higher as you get closer to the Continental Divide
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 10, colder in the valley floor
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, Northwest, higher gusts to the east
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 30
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, West Northwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Hunting the wrong beast

CB Avalanche Center2017-18 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 02/06/2018
Name: Ben Pritchett, Eric Murrow, Kreston Rohrig

Subject: Hunting the wrong beast
Aspect: North, North East, East, South East, South
Elevation: 9,600′-11,600′

Avalanches:

SS – ASc – R1/D1.5 – O. Failed on 4mm DH on a slick old bed surface.
SS – ASu – R2/D2 – O. Same structure, propagated wider and ran 800′ vertical.

Weather: Showery most of the day, with a significant pulse of snow from 10am till early afternoon.  Storm total ~10″ snow, with .8″ SWE.
Snowpack: Went looking to see if the Jan 20th interface would reactivate under the weight of a new load. Turns out the Jan 20th interface wouldn’t be our concern.
Found radically different structures between slopes that had and had not avalanched. We dug in 2 slopes that had not avalanched, which gave us information that we misapplied the slopes below, which it turns out had avalanched previously and had much different structure.
First, went to look for 1/20 interface in a deep spot with light drifting near treeline. Northeast aspect, 11,200′. HS 240cm. ECTX, with slab fractures within in the new snow. No concern at the 1/20 interface, down 50cm.
Second, went to look for changes to 1/20 interface within 10 or 15′ of a skier triggered avalanche from last week. Northeast aspect, 11,100′. HS 140cm. ECTX, with slab fractures within the new snow. No concern at the 1/20 interface, down 50cm.
Third, dropped into a slope that we believed had not avalanched this season, expecting to trigger a shallow storm slab in the new snow. A little ways down the slope, at the first significant roll-over, one skier placed a hard cut and triggered D1.5 slide, about 50cm deep. The hitch was the total HS was only 80cm. This slope had slid before, leaving a dramatically different 1/20 interface, with much, much, much weaker snow. There was no visual indication that the slope had previously avalanched, and only a change in feel underfoot right at the point of the avalanche.  After the first skier moved to safe ground, a second skier came down near the first track and remotely triggered (15′ away) a much broader avalanche in steeper adjacent terrain. Same structure, the slope had slid previously. At that point, both skiers skinned back to the ridge, opting to avoid this unexpected change in conditions and revert to the great snow on the lower angles sunny slopes.
Big lesson learned – thinking we were digging and looking for one problem, we found another problem, that was far touchier and broader propagating than expected. We were trying to figure out and find the weak layer responsible for the avalanches triggered a week before, which had been described as “wickedly touchy.”  Our evidence in profiles very close to the prior avalanches didn’t match what we expected to find, nor the prior reports.  Turns out we were in a completely different snowpack, because they were several feet outside of previous avalanches.  When the evidence doesn’t match the report (of touchy conditions recently) consider the weirdness as a sign of uncertainty – proceed with caution.  Fortunately, our habits of skiing the less exposed lines payed dividents, though it was too close for comfort.
Bottom line – head’s up, the slopes that avalanched in the Holiday cycle, or the early January cycle have reloaded in the deeper snow zones around Paradise Divide, and they may react much differently than the adjacent terrain with an intact full-season’s snowpack.

Photos:

shooting cracks in the storm snow on an east aspect at treeline.

detail of the avalanche scene. Skier 1 triggered small slide and posted up at #1 mark. Skier 2 then remote triggered from #2 mark. Skier 3 remained on the ridge. Skiers 1 and 2 skinned back up and the group exited via the ridge.

Overview w/ down & up tracks, plus avalanche locations.

crown of a repeat performer, in this case the D1.5 triggered higher on the slope.

flank of a repeat performer, showing structure.

Looking down the first D1.5 slide triggered on the first cut. The second slide was triggered from the horizon line below, into steeper terrain down and right.

the larger, remote triggered slide, which propagated around 200′ across the slope and ran 800′ vertical to the exit bench.

the structure from the repeat performer paths. The 4mm Depth Hoar was exceptionally weak and old bed surface exceptionally slick and firm from repeated avalanches.

Watching the remote triggered slide in motion.

Scarp Ridge Obs/Avalanches

CB Avalanche Center2017-18 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 02/06/2018
Name: Ian Havlick

Subject: Scarp Ridge Obs/Avalanches
Aspect: North East, South, South West, West
Elevation: 10,000-12,200ft

Avalanches:

Pretty widespread storm slab instabilities all elevations after 1300 today. 12-16″ deep, running as dry loose. More storm slabbiness,
unsupported slopes were easily triggered on approach. Propagation up to 10-40ft depending on terrain. No
persistent slab concerns yet. Wind effected snow and windslabs definitely present as well.

Weather: Gusty (moderate) west-SW winds across UUWW all day, minimal solar radiation, S1-2 but
some peak precip rates a bit higher. Temps at ridgetop 12 degrees, 20 at SP.
Snowpack: Moderate wind transport, snow heavy at times, definite storm slab, shooting cracks
within storm snow, snow broke as slabs, but ran as dry loose sluffing. Minimal debris. Wind slabs remained
pillow-like and very soft. Keep eye on settlement rates over next 24-36hr, as well as solar wet loose
potential, entraining significant amounts. Peered and stomped into Peeler and Legends. Triggered small windslab, hardly ran. Poor vis but couloir may have potentially ran already in storm snow. Very poor and scary crust-facet-crust combo on untravelled SW facing slope, 40º steepness, representative of bc snowpack terrain. Friable crusts capable of holding a load, but very weak 3mm facets below. ski cuts produce shooting cracks and avalanche still running as sluff.

Photos:

Mountain Weather February 6, 2018

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 02/06/2018

Amazing what a nice white blanket does for the soul of the mountain people! As of 6am this morning, the zone from Kebler through to Paradise divide has picked up 6-10″ of new snow, with 3-5″ closer to town and in the eastern part of the Elk mountains.
Today we can expect diminishing cloud cover, but with west northwest winds to fuel snow showers in the high country throughout the morning hours. By this afternoon, the precipitation will dry up and we’ll head into a chilly night. Bluebird tomorrow.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 20
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, West Northwest
    Sky Cover: Decreasing cloud cover
    Irwin Snow: 1 to 3″
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 3″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 5
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, Northwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 30
    Winds/Direction: 15 to 25, Northwest
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft February 5th, 2018

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 02/05/2018

Westerly winds have ramped up early this morning creating some gusty conditions down in the valleys. The high-pressure ridge is sliding west as a low-pressure trough moves into the area for the Monday, Tuesday timeframe. We will definitely get some winds and clouds and should even see some snow out of this one! We may see an inch or two of new snow this morning, but things don’t look to pick up until this evening. Our forecast area is looking a bit far south of the main action, so I’m not to optimistic about seeing the larger end of forecasted snow totals. The Aspen end of the Elk Mountains and Northern Sawatch look to be the most favored for the Central Mountains. Available moisture starts drying out through Tuesday as we move back into northwest flow on the edge of the high presser ridge to the west. We’ll see some clouds and wind this week but nothing in the form of snow. Next weekend looks like the next chance for accumulating snow.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 32
    Winds/Direction: 15 to 25/West
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: Tr to 2
    Elkton Snow: Tr to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: Tr to 2

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 20
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20/West
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 3 to 6
    Elkton Snow: 3 to 6
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 2 to 4

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 25
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20/West
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2

Mostly Weak

CB Avalanche Center2017-18 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 02/04/2018
Name: Evan Ross

Subject: Mostly Weak Snowpack
Aspect: North East, East
Elevation: 9,000 to 11,300ft

Avalanches:
Weather: Partly cloudy sky in the morning became overcast. Moderate westerly wind gusts at ridgeline otherwise calm winds at lower elevations.
Snowpack: Quick and easy to assess snowpack structure just feeling around. The snowpack was weak and lacked any PS structure. Warm temps from the past week have helped settle the upper snowpack and keep the facet sluffing in check. Below 10,000ft a 1 to 3cm surface crust was fairly widespread. Above 10,000ft that crust was confined to easterly facing slopes. HS was mostly in the 60 to 80cm range.

Found one pocket at ridgeline with obvious PS structure. HS was 95cm. Mostly a 4f- decaying slab sitting on F depth hoar. ECTX. CTM SC on the DH. Moving 15ft across the slope and the PS structure disappeared. It also disappeared shortly below the ridge.

Photos:

NNE aspect, 11,300ft. HS 95. Mostly a 4F- decaying slab sitting on F depth hoar. ECTX. CTM SC on the DH.