Gothic Obs

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 12/14/2018
Name: Steve Banks

Subject: Gothic Obs
Aspect: West
Elevation: 9500

Avalanches:

No recent avalanches were observed.

Weather: Clear and Sunny, little to no wind, high temps near freezing.
Snowpack: Mostly travelled on the road to Gothic. Observed small 1-3 mm surface hoar in the valley floor. In untrammeled terrain low in the valley West facing we received multiple loud collapses. There were areas of wind stiffened surface snow and evidence of previous wind drifting and loading (including some scree loading)

Photos:

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 12/15/2018

Valley inversions set up again last night while mountain temperatures at 11,000ft are warmer in the 20’s. Those mountain temperatures will again climb to near freezing today. Broken high thin clouds will continue to pass overhead with a cleaning trend in the afternoon. That clearing will continue into Sunday and high temperatures will increase another couple degrees as we sit in southwest flow under a ridge of high pressure. The extended forecast, unfortunately, doesn’t include much in the way of snow as we look into next week. So start doing that snow dance people!

  • Today

    High Temperature: 33
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20 West Southwest
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 20
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15 W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 35
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15 W
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 12/14/2018

Get above those hefty inversions this morning! -10ºF in the valleys, but +20 at ridgetops as of 5 am!
Strong upper-level ridging will continue across much of the mountain west as the jet stream is pushed north toward British Columbia today. Southwest flow will gradually lead to warming temperatures, but inversions should persist. The continued line up of storms stacking into the Pacific presses our current high pressure westward over the weekend. Bottom line: Look for a few more days of clear skies, breezy ridgetop winds, and cold overnight lows before our next chance of precipitation next week, but the closed low nature of next week’s system does not inspire confidence in much precipitation.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 29
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 10
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/SW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 31
    Winds/Direction: 5-15/WSW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Washington Gulch Study Plot Visit and Obs

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 12/13/2018
Name: Zach

Subject:
Aspect: North East, East, South West
Elevation: 9,000′-11,000′

Avalanches:

One new slide observed on East Cinnamon ~12,000′. Propagated ~150m across the slope and ran 300+ m out of sight.

Weather: Long underwear and a down jacket were greatly appreciated. Sunny skies, Cold with NW to NE winds, light-moderate with gusts and enough to transport small amounts of snow from time to time below tree line. Light loading off of larger peaks and ridge lines.
Snowpack: See picture of weekly profile from the Elkton Study Plot for a snapshot of that location.

On a search for Surface Hoar, Shovel Tilt tests at the plot site and at two NE open slopes BTL revealed easy results @ 10cm on Preserved Stellars(picture), No Surface Hoar found in any of these locations.

On Anthracite Mesa, very little windslab growth as strong NE winds were scouring snow in the open bowls and depositing it on the flats at ridgeline. No collapses or cracking was observed as the PS structure remained quiet today.

Photos:

Kebler Pass Buried Surface Hoar

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 12/13/2018
Name: Eric Murrow

Subject: Kebler Pass Buried Surface Hoar
Aspect: North, North East, East, South East, South
Elevation: 10,000′-11,500′

Avalanches:

Two fresh avalanches were visible on Mt Owen. Could not see crowns, but presume them to be wind slabs. Estimate to be D1.5.

Weather: Brrrrr it was a cold morning out there . Winds were light with moderate gust out of NW at treeline. Small amounts of transport were happening during tour.

Snowpack: Kept moving through out the tour to stay warm, but performed at couple quick test at surface. In two locations, on at 10,600 and 11,000, both NE aspects and open meadows I found buried surface hoar about 10cm down.
Other notable finds were drifts up to 14″ deep immediately below ridge top on south/southeast aspects. Stomping just below ridge top produced minor cracking, approx. 5 feet. Ski cut same slope on way down without any result. Drifts dissipated quickly as you moved down slope. There were several large drifts at the ridge top that were 18″ deep or more, got one to collapse with three people standing on drifted whales at ridge top which caused a small fresh cornice to break onto a southeast slope.

Photos:

12/13 Fresh slides on Mt. Owen

Gothic Townsite 7am Obs

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 12/13/2018
Name: billy barr

Subject: Gothic Townsite 7am Obs
Aspect:
Elevation: 9400

Avalanches:
Weather: Light snow Wed. afternoon with 1½” with 0.10″ of water and was looking OK but then wind came late day and shut off snow with just 1″ snow and 0.07″ water overnight while clearing. Wind stopped around 4 a.m. and it has dropped to -03F so far. Snowpack at 23½” and has been holding steady with the light snow. Now clear and calm. billy
Snowpack:

Photos:

Weather Forecast for 11,000′

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 12/13/2018

We caught the southern end of a weak system that passed early last night to our north. A high-pressure ridge has developed leaving our area in a cold NW flow. Today’s temps will be in teens with NW winds decreasing throughout the day. Night time temperatures will be in the single digits with a slight warming trend tomorrow up to the mid ’20s. We will remain under a flat high-pressure ridge throughout the weekend with temps remaining in the teens, and light to moderate winds as the NW flow continues. Next possible chance for precipitation will be Mon/Tues. as a low pressure develops off the coast of Baja.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 10 to 15
    Winds/Direction: 10-20 NW
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 0 to 5
    Winds/Direction: 0-5, NW
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 20-25
    Winds/Direction: 5-10
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Cement Creek Check In

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Cement Creek Area
Date of Observation: 12/11/2018
Name: Evan Ross

Subject: Cement Creek Check In
Aspect:
Elevation: 9,000-12,000

Avalanches:

Plenty of old avalanches to be seen from earlier this season at ATL/NTL/BTL elevations. Though, those avalanches are getting covered up and more difficult to detect with more recent snow and wind. Old Persistent Slab avalanches could be seen on west to north to easterly aspects. Southern aspects only had some old, smaller Wind Slab avalanches in the alpine.

Weather:
Snowpack: Traveled Cement Creek Rd to the end of the valley at 12,000. Not enough snow to want to get off the road via snowmobile and by the looks of things the skiing options were slim too. No signs of recreational travel this season in the upper Cement Creek area. In the lower Cement Creek drainage there wasn’t really enough snow for skiing in avalanche terrain. Moderate avalanche danger would hold for the area given heightened avalanche danger on specific terrain. That specific terrain would be wind-loaded areas. On the lee sides of ridgelines and in cross loaded terrain or gully features. Given what we know about the weather history and observations in other parts of the CBAC forecast area, these wind loaded terrain features would be suspect for the Persistent Slab avalanche problem as is currently highlighted on the avalanche bulletin.

Photos:

Swiss cheese

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 12/12/2018
Name: Than

Subject: Swiss cheese
Aspect: North, North East
Elevation: ATL, BTL

Avalanches:

None seen but it was milk jug in the valley

Weather: windy and snowy on the ridge and at treeline, calm and snowing lightly below treeline
Snowpack: Looking at the ridge from down valley, you could see it had been wind scoured on the south side. Denser wind effect on top of a snowpack that was 140 cm deep at treeline. Below treeline snowpack was light on top, denser in the middle and sitting on crap at the bottom. Appeared to be a buried surface hoar as well 10 or so cms down. Classic strong over weak structure. The swiss cheese comment comes from an old mentor of mine who pointed out that while the pack may look and feel good in a lot of spots, there are still holes in random areas and to always be aware. Thin crust on anything facing E/SE. Bottom part of pitch to the valley floor was still unconsolidated top to bottom in the pack and about 40 cms deep.

Photos:

Persistent Slab Structure on South and West

CBAC2018-19 Observations

Eleven Snowcat Terrain 12/11/18:

Notable collapses on South facing terrain,  Multiple ECTM results with Sudden Collapse failures indicating the potential for propagation. Snow profile on South had failures below a crust capping early season facets, while on West there was no crust but failure on same early season facets.