Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Saturday, April 13

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 04/13/2019

A large trough is currently hanging out over the Intermountain West. Moisture associated with this trough has the potential to keep partly to mostly cloudy sky in our area for Saturday. As of 5am a thick band of clouds is passing through Western Colorado. We should see upper level clearing behind this band of clouds around sunset, though low valley clouds are showing up and will take longer to dissipate. After any cleaning this morning, daytime heating and convection may turn the available moisture into clouds and take us back to somewhere around partly cloudy for the day. High temperatures today only look to hit around 32 degrees in the mountains, but that strong April Sun will make it feel much warmer.

Dry air moves into the area for Saturday night as a weak ridge builds in for the next few days. This ridge looks to keep most of the available moisture just to our north. It’s looking like some sunny weather for Sunday, but we could be right on the edge of those clouds to our north. High temperatures will increase a few degrees on Sunday. By Monday the flow will have turned southwest and we’ll see those temperatures take another good jump well above freezing in the mountains.

At the moment, a copy of the weather from last week looks to be the same forecast for this upcoming week. After dry weather to start off the week, a low-pressure trough sets up by the midweek. Bringing a return for snow showers and a cold front moving in to drop those temperatures back down.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 29 to 33
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, W
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 14 to 18
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 31 to 35
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, W
    Sky Cover:
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Strong April Sun Cooking It Down

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 04/12/2019
Name: Evan Ross

Subject: Strong April Sun Cooking It Down
Elevation: 9,000-12,300

Avalanches: Natural Loose Wet Avalanches were small in size, but powerful given their wet nature. These avalanches mainly failed on east to south to west aspects, while the recent storm snow had also become moist on some northerly aspects.

One fresh D2 soft slab had failed below an easterly ridge at 12,000ft. An older D2 Wet Slab was also observed in the Happy Chutes ENE ~9600ft.

Weather: Partly cloudy sky, with plenty of that strong April Sun. Winds were calm to light and 11,000’ish FT weather stations showed high temps in the mid to upper 20’s.
Snowpack: The sun did its thing and cooked down the new snow. North stayed dry, but other slopes all saw the effects of the sun up to the elevation traveled. The deepest drifts where isolated in the terrain and didn’t seem to cover big parts of the slopes. Managing terrain for a windslab avalanche problem around a foot thick was spot on. While a Loose Wet Avalanche problem developed, it was smaller in comparison.

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 04/12/2019

The area will continue to remain under light NW flow for most of today before a weak system moves to the south of the area tonight. Light snow showers will continue for the first part of the day for upper elevation terrain near the Ruby Range. Accumulations will be minimal today. Winds will settle down from the past two days and blow from the west. Another system is headed for the Four Corners region this afternoon, but is relatively weak and is tracking south of our area. This system will bring some showery precipitation Friday night and Saturday but will provide little accumulating snow. A ridge of high pressure looks to develop Saturday evening and into Sunday bringing back some more spring-like weather on Sunday.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 27 to 32
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 11 to 16
    Winds/Direction: 3 to 13, SE
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 32 to 37
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1″

Irwin Cat Ski Obs

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 04/11/2019
Name: IG

Subject: Irwin Cat Ski Obs
Aspect:
Elevation: 10,400 – 12,000

Avalanches:

Two D1’s out of Swill and Bender. The Swill windslab was intentionally skier
triggered and the bender D1 was triggered from kicking cornices that triggered a shallow, reactive windslab.
Bender SS-ASc-R2-D1.5-I U (25cm x 30m x 70m)
Swill SS-ASc-R2-D1-U U (25cm x 25m x 40m)

Weather: Snowing S1 to S2 throughout the day. West winds 10-20 G 35 shifting to northwest mid day. Cold temps with ridge top highs of 11. NW Winds look to be decreasing overnight tonight.

Snowpack: 10- 25 cm new snow throughout UWW, EBM and SBM. Upper west wall start zones are holding the least amount of new snow. In round two and strike three we observed shallow storm slabs breaking
10′ in front of skis. These slabs are not running yet. There is a mid storm instability above the MFcr old snow surface. This is most likely the same, dense 3″ of snow at the base of the study plot boards observed this morning. EBM had 30cm of new snow concentrated on the ridge top. SBM had 15-20cm of new that has not slabbed up by mid day.
Photos:

storm check out east

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Cement Creek Area
Date of Observation: 04/11/2019
Name: Eric Murrow

Subject: storm check out east
Aspect: East, South East, South, South West, West
Elevation: 9,000′ – 12,100′

Avalanches:

nothin new

Weather: Overcast skies with light snowfall. Minimal accumulations between 11am and 3pm. Winds were blowing most of the day with strong gusting. Drifting of the new snow was observed even below treeline in open areas. Unfortunately, dust came immediately prior to this round of snow and will likely start to appear during the next melting period.

Snowpack: New snow accumulations ranged from about 2″ to 6″. It was a bit difficult to gauge new snow at upper elevations as the wind scoured, drifted, and pressed the snow in most open terrain. Drifts up to 18″ were observed and likely deeper on some alpine features. Drifted and wind-pressed snow readily cracked and formed a very cohesive slab.

Poked a quick hole on a west aspect at 10,000′ with an HS 155cm and found free water had percolated down to within 45cm of the ground with percolation tubes present to that level. The next warm period will likely see free water drain down to the oldest and weakest snow near the ground at this location and make Wet Slabs a concern.

Photos:

Schuykill pow and windslabs

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 04/11/2019
Name: MR

Subject: Schuykill pow and windslabs
Aspect:
Elevation:

Avalanches:

Localized windslabs just above the bench, 10,200’ or so, skier triggered a small r.5d.5 slab which ran with little energy, 10 inch crown

Weather:

Snowpack:
Photos:

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 04/11/2019

The low-pressure system, from yesterday, produced from 3″ to 10″ of snow as of 5am this morning. The low-pressure center has moved to the east of Colorado, but residual moisture will continue to stream into the area under NW flow. This wind direction will favor locations from Kebler Pass to Schofield Pass with lesser amounts for the interior parts of the range. Up to an additional 2″ to 4″ could fall today for the snow favored areas. Winds will remain out of the NW for the day and will continue to blow hard enough to transport the new snow. Looking towards Friday and the weekend, models are showing another system moving into the area, but it does not look impressive and may only produce showery precipitation into the weekend.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 23 to 28
    Winds/Direction: 12 to 22, NW
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 2 to 4″
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 3″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 8 to 13
    Winds/Direction: 6 to 16, WNW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 29 to 34
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 1″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 1″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1″

fresh refresh

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 04/10/2019
Name: Eric Murrow

Subject: Fresh Refresh
Aspect: North, North East, East, South East, South
Elevation: 9,200′ – 11,500′

Avalanches: nada

Weather: Overcast skies with snow ranging from S-1 to S2 from 1pm to 430pm. Winds had already shifted to the NW by 1pm. Wind speeds were generally in the 10’s but some gusting reaching up to 30 at ridgetop at 11,500′. Precip fell as rimed particles and some graupel.

Snowpack: New snow accumulations reached 5″ at 430pm. Just over 2″ fell between 1 and 430pm. Poked around on a variety of aspects at ridgetop looking for fresh drifts with deepest being around 6 or 7″, Very minor cracking, 1 foot, on the driftiest features. All aspects, expect due north above 11,200ish” had a crust at new/old interface. Southerly aspects near treeline had crust 3″ thick underneath the new snow. Steepest terrain features produced minor skier triggered sloughs.
Free water on NE facing slopes had perculated down from 20 to 40cm from the surfaces. Most slopes above 11,000′ regardless of aspect had drained/froze any liquid water by the PM. Upper snowpack below around 11,000′ continued to hold moist snow below a very thin, weak crust from the previous night’s warm temperatures.

Photos: