Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 12/15/2019
Name: billy barr
Subject: Gothic 7am Update
Aspect:
Weather: Cloudy with steady, strong wind Saturday and stronger gusts, up to about 40 mph. Generally light to no snow, mostly in the afternoon so a dense build-up. Then wind lets up with light to moderate snow ending by midnight. So 24 hour totals are 6½” new snow with 0.54″ of SWE. Currently 31″ on the ground, winters deepest and above average for this date (first time all winter). It is cloudy but calm (hooray). Low temp. 4ºF and currently 6 after a high of 27F. Did I mention no wind? billy
Mountain Weather For 11,000ft Sunday 12/15
Date: 12/15/2019
Winds have eased and become light overnight, while snowfall also tapered off after midnight. The moisture stream has now moved to our south. A short wave trough will be passing over Colorado today. Models show us staying just to the north of that main moisture feed, so if that holds up we are only talking about a little new snow this afternoon. If that model guidance is wrong and the moisture pushes a bit further north then we could see more snow adding up this afternoon and into the evening.
Heading into Monday the Temperatures will be dropping as we sit under northerly flow. The mountains will see high temperatures in the single digits and low temperatures in the negatives. By Tuesday a large high pressure will be overhead bringing clears sky and continued cold temperatures.
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Today
High Temperature: 16 to 20
Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, NNW
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Irwin Snow: 1 to 3
Elkton Snow: 1 to 3
Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2 -
Tonight
Low Temperature: -6 to -2
Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, NNW
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Irwin Snow: 0 to 2
Elkton Snow: 0 to 2
Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2 -
Tomorrow
High Temperature: 5 to 9
Winds/Direction: 7 to 17, NNW
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Irwin Snow: 0 to 1
Elkton Snow: 0 to 1
Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1
Gothic Obs
Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 12/14/2019
Name: Steve Banks
Subject: Gothic Obs
Aspect: North East
Elevation: 9,500
Avalanches: None observed—poor visibility
Weather: 6-8” of new snow accumulation. Periods of S4 snowfall. Whiteout most of the day. Strong down valley (NW) winds which curiously shifted to up valley from time to time. Temps in the mid to upper 20’s. Around dusk the winds and snowfall tapered significantly.Snowpack: Shooting cracks and collapse on small 36* East facing slope. Shovel tilt test failed repeatedly within the new snow while isolating or removing the column. Compression Test also failed on isolation (CTV) failing are the ground. Strong over weak structure observed, though in the location Basel facets were minimal and discontinuous. Most notable in our snow pit was the upside down new snow and storm slab failures.
Sensitive Snodgrass
Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 12/14/2019
Subject: Sensitive Snodgrass
Aspect: East, South East
Elevation: BTL
Avalanches: Poor visibility prevented views of surrounding landscapes.
Weather: Variable weather. Overcast skies with periods of S-1, S1, and S2 snowfall, but mostly S-1. This snowfall really didn’t result in snow accumulation. Did notice graupel grains on the snow surface. Primary weather factor for snow accumulation were the winds, which were moderate at times with moderate snow transport, especially in unprotected areas. Temperatures were closer to freezing in the trees and in sheltered areas.
Snowpack: Shallow snowpack in the spruce with air pockets around branches and down trees. Collapsing and cracking on new skin track in the spruce, but isolated to the skin track.
Four hasty hand pits from the aspen through the spruce all had failures on a layer 6 inches below the snow surface. In wind affected areas, hand CT resulted in CT1 Q1. Other tests were CT2 and CTV Q2 but all on the layer about 6 inches below the snow surface. Failure layer is buried surface hoar?
Cement Creek Snow
Location: Cement Creek Area
Date of Observation: 12/14/2019
Name: Cosmo
Subject: Cement Creek Snow
Weather: Cement Creek @ 9400’, 8am Saturday—6.5” of snow over last 24ish hours bringing storm total thus far to to about 12”. Snow this morning seemed denser than the snow I shoveled yesterday morning. Plenty of wind blowing fresh snow around.
Mountain Weather for 11,000ft
Date: 12/14/2019
All the ingredients are lining up for another good dose of snowfall across our forecast area today into Sunday as the strong upper level jet stream slowly sags from the I-70 corridor southward into Gunnison County and the Elk Mountains tonight. Snow, heavy at times and strong westerly winds will continue throughout the day today creating near whiteout conditions near and above treelike once again. There may be a lull in snowfall midday, but should redevelop again this afternoon. Tonight, a sagging cold front will push the jet stream southward into the San Juans, shutting off the major moisture tap, but creating favorable west-northwest flow over our mountains into Sunday morning. Sunday should see improving visibility, backing winds and partial sunshine to return, especially in the afternoon.
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Today
High Temperature: 20-25
Winds/Direction: 20 G40-50/WNW
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Irwin Snow: 4-8″
Elkton Snow: 4-8″
Friend’s Hut Snow: 3-6″ -
Tonight
Low Temperature: 15-20
Winds/Direction: 20 G40-50/W
Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
Irwin Snow: 2-4″
Elkton Snow: 2-4″
Friend’s Hut Snow: 1-3″ -
Tomorrow
High Temperature: 15-20
Winds/Direction: 15-25/NW
Sky Cover: Decreasing clouds
Irwin Snow: 1-3″
Elkton Snow: 1-3″
Friend’s Hut Snow: 0-2″
Gothic Townsite 6am Obs
Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 12/14/2019
Name: billy barr
Subject: Gothic Townsite 6am Obs
Elevation: 9400
Weather: Snow stopped near sunrise yesterday and it stayed dry, though very windy, the rest of the day. Wind let up near sunset and snow started just at dark and continued through the night. Wind was mild until becoming strong near 4 a.m. as snowfall continued. Totals so far are 7″ new snow with 0.56″ SWE and snowpack at 27½”. Currently light snow and strong wind, about 8-15 W gusting to 30. Temperature dropped to 18F but gradually climbed to the current 26F. It is not nice out there. billy
Gothic Valley
Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 12/13/2019
Name: Steve Banks
Subject: Gothic Valley
Aspect: North East
Elevation: 9,500’Avalanches:
No avalanches observed.
Weather: Left the Snodgrass TH a little after 2 pm in a nice lull in the storm. Got a little sun, broken skies and light winds. Could see moderate to intense wind loading at ridge top on White Mtn. Temps started off relatively mild in the mid 20’s and dropped significantly through the afternoon. Ceiling dropped and light snow beginning again by 5 pm.Snowpack: Average 7” of new snow BTL with some wind effect. Average HS 40cms. Still lots of grass and bushes showing on southerly slopes. Stomping on steep road cuts produced some cracking, though less than expected. Cracks went full depth to basal facets.
Storm Break Tour
Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 12/13/2019
Name: Joey Carpenter
Subject: Storm Break Tour
Aspect: East, South East, South
Elevation: 9400-11900Avalanches:
From the car (estimated) R1D2 SE face baldy
E face Emmons ridge 11.5k R1D1.5 gouged into scree at the ground on this 40 degree+ (estimate) crown was partially filled by the time I saw this approximately 24 inch deep slide.
Weather: OVC throughout tour from 1430-1700. Break in the storm provided light winds, little to no snowfall. S2 rates started by the time I reached 11k. Westerly winds picked up during my transition causing heavy snow transport along visible ridges. Snowpack: The higher in elevation, the denser the slab felt through pole probing and quick hand puts. Especially drifted areas. I did get some small collapses but nothing substantial. Slope angles were kept in check and all steep terrain was avoided. Snow totals at 11k were 9 inches.Irwin Cat Ski Operation
Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 12/13/2019
Name: Irwin Guides
Subject: Irwin Cat Ski Operation
Aspect: South West, West
Elevation: 10-12,000Weather: Full storm conditions with whiteout conditions above treeline before 1300, tapering to a
nice lull with lifting ceilings and much decreased wind. Temps remained cold in the upper teens at 12k.
Total storm accumulation sits at 13″ with 1.5″. Total accumulation during the day was 1″ rimed snow with .2″
water. Snowpack: Pasted wind-driven snow largely lacked signs of instability most of the day. Last
runs of the day in MWW produced skier triggered storm slabs 20-45cm deep toward the end of the day, and other
small slopes began to crack off ski tips on UWW terrain (Outer limits, Assassin pockets). Profile dug in
Outer Limits revealed PST20/100(end), and PST30/100(end) down 60cm in early November facets.




