More Cornice Triggered Avalanches

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 04/19/2019
Name: Evan Ross

Subject: More Cornice Triggered Avalanches
Aspect: North, North East, East
Elevation: 9,500-12,500

Avalanches: A couple more cornice avalanches that failed within the past couple days. The most significant was outside our forecast area in the West Elk Wilderness. The cornice gouged to the ground and produced a very large D3 avalanche on a north face at 12,200ft. The other was a D2 on an east face at 12,000ft near East Beckwith that only entrained surface snow.

Skier triggered some small loose wet avalanches on a north facing below treeline slope.

Weather: Oooo man, that was a good one! Beautiful day. Calm to light winds at 12,000ft. Clear sky. Full on spring baby.

Snowpack: Shred-tastic out there. Spent most of the day on northerly facing terrain. The snow surface above 11,500ft was still mostly dry and great skiing where it wasn’t effected by the wind. Spent some time crossing easterly facing terrain near and above treeline and before noon, and any loose wet issues where minimal at that time. SW above treeline at around 1pm was warming right at ridgeline, didn’t travel lower on that slope but the loose wet also felt minimal. Wether loose wet avalanches became a more significant issue somewhere or not, we still chose to avoid some sunny terrain due to the potential for wet avalanches on rocky steep slopes.

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Friday, April 19

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 04/19/2019

Another beautiful spring day is coming up. A ridge of high pressure is sliding over Colorado. As it continues to move over today we’ll see the pressure gradient decrees and today’s winds decrease as compared to yesterday. High temperatures yesterday were in the 37 to 40 degree range at 11,000ft. We’ll see those high temps increase another 5 to 7 degrees today. While at lower elevations we’ll see high temperatures reaching up around 50 degrees or even warmer down in the valleys.

Looks like we’ll see a poor freeze on Saturday morning. High temps on Saturday will increase another couple degrees and some high clouds look to move in during the later afternoon.

A small disturbance may bring a dusting of snow on Saturday night. Clouds continue to hang out on Sunday as a larger low-pressure system moves on in. Unsettled weather with some snow will then start off next week.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 44 to 48
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, WNW
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 29 to 33
    Winds/Direction: 2 to 12, W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 46 to 50
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, WSW
    Sky Cover: Increasing clouds
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 04/18/2019

The low-pressure system that brought clouds and a few snowflakes the past two days has now exited to the east of Colorado. Much like yesterday, the area will continue to sit under a cooler, but dry northwest flow. Expect air temperatures to warm a few degrees from yesterday, skies to be mostly clear, and gusty ridgetop winds. A ridge of high-pressure will slide into the area on Thursday evening and linger through the first part of Saturday. The ridge will bring some of the warmest temperatures of the spring under clear skies. Unsettled weather looks to make a return on Saturday afternoon and last through Monday with two systems impacting the area. The second system in this set may bring accumulating snowfall to the area.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 37 to 42
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, NW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 22 to 27
    Winds/Direction: 6 to 16, NW
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 44 to 49
    Winds/Direction: 4 to 14, W
    Sky Cover: Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0″
    Elkton Snow: 0″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0″

Ruby range wet snow and a lil bit of dry snow left

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 04/17/2019
Name: Eric Murrow

Subject: Ruby range wet snow and a lil bit of dry snow left
Aspect: North, North East, East, South, South West, West
Elevation: 9,200′ – 12, 700′

Avalanches: A few old previously reported Wind Slabs, numerous D1 and D1.5 wet loose from Sunday or Monday on sunny slopes near and above treeline. Of note though were 4 good sized cornice failures, that had little to no refill from this past weekends storm, which makes me believe that they likely failed on Monday from warm temps with clear, sunny skies – see photos

Weather: Cloud cover varied from partly to mostly cloudy during the day with moderate amounts of solar warming the snow. Winds were generally light with occasional moderate gusting above treeline blowing from the NW. A few thicker clouds spit out a few snowflakes but not enough to call it a dusting. Air temps were fairly mild pushing close to freezing mark at treeline.

Snowpack: Very little dry snow remains – above treeline due north. Terrain that faced due north at about 11,700ish feet had a thin temperature crust at the surface – exciting breaker crust skiing. Slopes that face NE above treeline up to 12,300′ became moist down to the 4/12 interface and produced small roller balls around noon – tried to get a wet loose slough on this terrain but conditions were not quite wet enough. Did not travel through much southerly above treeline terrain.

Skied through SSW near and below treeline terrain around 3pm and found around 4 inches of wet snow sitting on top of a supportive, still frozen crust. Was able to get a few roller balls going on this terrain, but no wet loose avalanches. It sure feels like we need a prolonged or dramatic warm up to get significant wet loose activity going again – feeling very spring-like on sunny slopes even in the afternoon with decent solar input.

Photos:

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 04/17/2019

The low-pressure system responsible for the unsettled weather is currently centered over the California/Arizona border this morning with the trough axis forecasted to pass over the area by this evening. The system should track over central New Mexico leaving the CB area well north of what little energy is available. Overall this system continues to look unimpressive and will struggle to produce accumulating snowfall for the area. Today you can expect the possibility of some light snow showers with a couple of inches if we are lucky and light westerly winds with some gusting.
As the low-pressure passes by this evening, a ridge will build immediately behind. Thursday, Friday, and the first half of Saturday will be clearer and warmer with a return to beautiful spring weather. Models are predicting a return to unsettled weather for Saturday evening continuing into Monday but we will see how that plays out in the coming days.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 37 to 42
    Winds/Direction: 7 to 17, WNW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 1″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 19 to 24
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, NW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 39 to 43
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, NW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Afternoon wet snow

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 04/16/2019
Name: Eric Murrow

Subject: Afternoon wet snow
Aspect: North East, East, South East, South, North West
Elevation: 9,500′ – 11,500′

Avalanches:

Nothing new. Some wet loose avalanches on S and E aspects at all elevations from warm temps and sun on Monday, and a few old Wind Slabs from the past weekend in alpine terrain down the spine of the Ruby Range on easterly aspects.

Weather: Mostly cloudy skies but with periods of sunshine. Warm temps, above freezing at 11,500′ around 230pm. A few random flurries, with a snow shower earlier in the day leaving a trace of new snow. Light winds out of the SSW with some gusts.

Snowpack:

Wandered around a bit checking a variety of aspects in the snow favored portion of the forecast area to observe wet surfaces and how deeply water has drained into the snowpack so far this spring.

Starting below treeline dug a couple of holes below 10,500′ on south and southeast aspects with HS between 120 and 140 and found 10cm wet surface snow, but a few cms of old crust still frozen. Water had drained to the ground on these sunny below treeline slopes.

At the near treeline elevation band found around 5 inches of wet snow from the previous weekend sitting on a supportive crust on an ENE facing slope. Free water had percolated down 55cm from the surface forming an ice lens with percolation tubes going a few cms beyond. HS on this slope was close to 300cm.
An easterly facing slope at 11,200′ with an HS of 260cm showed free water had percolated around 115cm down from the surfaces forming several ice lens’.
A northwest facing slope at 11,500, HS 200cm, had free water drain down around 25cm from the surface. While probing, basal weak layers felt noticeably weaker than the stout slab above. While probing the ENE and E facing slopes, that have significantly deeper snow depths, basal weak layers felt much stronger and were less noticeable while probing.

Snow surfaces looked to have been just wet enough, near and below treeline, to trigger some small wet loose avalanches, but all locations had crusts below the wet surface which would have prevented wet loose activity from gouging much deeper into the snowpack.

Photos:

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 04/16/2019

The beautiful weather from yesterday did not last long as today we transition back to a couple of days with unsettled weather. A low-pressure system is currently off the coast of the Pacific Northwest and is set to push on shore. This system will head towards the desert southwest during the day, and begin to push moisture into the area. Temperatures look a bit cooler today as compared to yesterday with mostly cloudy sky cover. Today you can expect some very light snowfall with a better chance of accumulating snow this evening and tonight. Overall this system looks to be fairly weak with snow totals in the 2″ to 6″ range by the end of the day on Wednesday. As the system passes by the area on Tuesday night, expect the flow to turn northwesterly and bring cooler temps on Wednesday. The northwest flow may keep light snow production going for the terrain to the west and north of town on Wednesday.

A ridge of high-pressure should develop over the area for Thursday and Friday with warmer and clearer skies but by Saturday, the unsettled weather looks to make a return under split flow. Snowfall does not look impressive for the weekend, but maybe a slight refresh.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 38 to 43
    Winds/Direction: 8 to 18, SW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 21 to 26
    Winds/Direction: 4 to 14, W
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 1 to 3″
    Elkton Snow: 1 to 3″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 1 to 3″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 35 to 40
    Winds/Direction: 7 to 17, NNW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2″

Ruby Range check In

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 04/15/2019
Name: Evan Ross

Subject: Ruby Range check In
Elevation: 9,000-11,700

Avalanche: Triggered several D1 to D1.5 loose wet avalanches on easterly facing slopes at the upper elevations traveled. Watched some snowboarders trigger a couple similar loose wet avalanches in the alpine.

There were plenty of natural and human triggered Wind Slabs from Sunday that where still visible. These mostly appeared to have thin crowns in the 4-5″ range, but some where in the 12″ range. They had some good propagation up to a couple hundred feet and had the potential to take you for a ride.

Saw 4, D2 Cornices that had released in the Rudy Range. One of which was observed on April 9th, while the others looked more recent.

Weather: Partly Cloudy as a general summary of the whole day. Moderate to strong westerly winds.

Snowpack: Any new snow that has accumulated over the last few days was definitely getting zapped down at the elevations traveled. Up at the lower benches of the Ruby Range above Irwin, recent snow had settled out to ~6″ on last Fridays Crust 4/12. At lower elevations there was closer to 0-2″ of snow sitting on that crust. Any current avalanche problems where related to this new snow. Despite the few clouds and strong winds, loose wet avalanches could be human triggered in this transitioning snow. This problem would have been easy to manage and I saw little natural activity. Checked a couple lower elevation sunny slopes on the way home in the afternoon. Those particular slopes were still supportive to a snowmobile and crusts had not fully broken down so there wasn’t really a loose wet avalanche problem.

In regard to the Wind Slab issue. I traveled on similar slopes as those that had produced Wind Slab Avalanches yesterday. Those slabs no longer appeared problematic and where transitioning into the Loose Wet problem. Maybe this issue would have still been problematic near or above 12,000ft say, where the snow was colder.

Mountain Weather for 11,000ft. Monday, April 15

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 04/15/2019

We were on the line with where the clouds set up yesterday and got slapped in the face when we fell to the wrong side. Today, moisture is again streaming towards Northern Colorado while models are showing dry air over Central and Southern Colorado. Satellite view current conditions at 5am this morning shows some clouds forming off of other mountain ranges in the upstream flow. Spring weather has been fickle and difficult to nail down lately, but I’m going to hedge my bets that by noon we’ll have mostly clear sky overhead for the rest of the day.

The pressure gradient remains tight overhead and we will again see those strong gusty winds in the alpine. They may die down a bit this morning, but expect them to pick up throughout the day. Those winds will help keep upper elevations feeling cooler, while high temperatures at 11,000ft will climb near 40 degrees.

The flow turns southwest by late this afternoon ahead of the next low-pressure trough. Warmer air will be streaming up overnight and we’ll see little to no freeze in the mountains. Clouds will be on the increase Tuesday as that low pressure moves it. On Tuesday Night and Wednesday that system moves well to our south leaving poor snow accumulations for our area. The next little storm moves in from the north on Thursday and looks to mostly stay to our east. Dry air moves back in for Friday and Saturday.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 38 to 42
    Winds/Direction: 12 to 22, G40, West
    Sky Cover: Mostly Clear
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 31 to 35
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, SW
    Sky Cover: Partly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 38 to 42
    Winds/Direction: 10 to 20, SW
    Sky Cover: Mostly Cloudy
    Irwin Snow: 0
    Elkton Snow: 0
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0

Not quite spring

CB Avalanche Center2018-19 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 04/14/2019
Name: Keitha

Subject: Not quite spring
Aspect: North East, East
Elevation: 11,000-12,000

Avalanches: Fresh, natural wind slab avalanche that ran earlier in the morning on a noticeably wind loaded SE aspect of Ruby. One skier triggered avalanche on a cross-loaded E-SE slope, big enough to carry a person.

Weather: Partly sunny turning overcast and flat light by late morning. Not enough sun to warm up or change snow surfaces drastically. W, NW wind gusts transporting snow at high elevations.

Snowpack: 6-12″ of fresh on top of a supportive base. New snow turning stiff below 11,500 in places affected by wind.