“Oh Yeah – It’s Back!!!”
Friday, December 8, 2017
Lodge at Mountaineer Square, Crested Butte Mountain Resort, Mt Crested Butte.
Doors open at 5:00, Program starts at 6:00. $5 at the door. CBAC members get in FREE.
Join the Crested Butte Avalanche Center on Friday December 8th, 2017 for the 14th Annual Avalanche Awareness Night at the Lodge at Mountaineer Square in Mt. Crested Butte.
You know it, this night is the biggest fundraiser of the year for your local avalanche center. Beer, pizza, avalanche education, comedy, all your best friends, CBAC logo apparel, a humongous raffle (and Haffle!). Don’t miss out on the best early season kickoff party in the Gunnison Valley.
By Arden Feldman CBAC Intern
The major dome of high pressure over the western US continued to bring calm, sunny weather and record high temperatures to the Crested Butte area for another week. The Elkton weather station at 11,000 ft recorded daytime highs in the mid to upper 40s from March 15th through the 21st, and nighttime lows that did not drop below freezing from the 14th through the 20th. It was full blown “beach weather” for Crested Butte’s spring break. On the 21st a moisture-laden Pacific trough began digging towards the California/Baja coast. This initially brought a warm, moist southwest flow with a mix of sun and clouds through the 22nd. On the 23rd, the high pressure and above average temperatures were finally pushed out by the trough and a closed low pressure system began impacting Colorado with a cold front. The storm hammered the San Juan Mountains but came in relatively light for our area with Irwin and CBMR reporting 2-4 inches on the 24th, Schofield Pass recording 9 inches, and unusually tame NW winds gusting into the 40s. Skies cleared by the morning of the 25th allowing for fantastic weather for the Grand Traverse. A weak, fast moving trough brought light snow showers to the area that night. The storm quickly moved past and skies cleared again, with generally cooler temperatures on the 26th and 27th. Overnight lows were back down to the low 20s. Spring squalls due to a closed low moving overhead brought 3-4 inches of snow on the night of the 27th into the morning of the 28th. The 29th and 30th were another set of warm and calm days before a final closed low pressure system on the 31st. This storm came in light and warm with general accumulations of 1-2 inches and 6 inches at Schofield Pass.
On March 16th the persistent slab problem was finally removed from the list. The last human triggered persistent slab avalanche on the buried near surface facets occurred on March 4th, suggesting the layer had become dormant or unreactive in its dry snow state. However, the string of increasingly warm days without solid overnight freezes introduced more and more free water into the snowpack, especially on east, south, and west aspects, and persistent slab concerns were replaced with wet slab concerns. This free water was getting deep enough in the snowpack to pool up on these buried crusts and weak layers, potentially destabilizing them and threatening to release wet slab avalanches. Wet slab avalanches remained on the problem list until the 23rd when colder temperatures aided in refreezing the snowpack.
The continued warm weather with poor refreezes was also causing an increase in frequency and potential size of wet loose avalanches. The large amount of free water in the snowpack was creating the potential for small point releases to gouge down and become bigger and far more consequential. On the 22nd, this threat, along with wet slab concerns, raised the avalanche danger to Considerable below tree line. Large wet loose avalanches posed a threat until the 24th when new snow and a solid freeze limited the wet loose avalanche concerns to small surface instabilities through the 25th. Loose wet avalanches then stayed off the problem list until the 29th and 30th, when warmer temperatures and some new snow brought back the potential for small wet loose avalanches involving the fresh snow.
The 2-9 inches of new snow combined with moderate NW winds on the 23rd, added small wind slabs to the problem list until the 25th. The spring snow squalls on the night of the 27th again added small wind slabs to the problem list on the 28th. In both cases the wind slabs were confined to loaded, above tree line slopes. On the 26th, 27th, and 31st, solid overnight freezes and little to no fresh snow resulted in no avalanche problems and the avalanche danger being rated at Low at all elevations.
By Arden Feldman CBAC Intern
With a broad ridge of high pressure shifting east over the continental US, March 3rd and 4th were quite pleasant with sunny skies, light winds, and daytime high temperatures just above freezing. The next Pacific trough of low pressure began coming ashore on the 5th, briefly bringing back stormy weather. An associated cold front on the morning of the 6th brought 4 to 7 inches of new snow and cold temperatures, but the big story was the extreme westerly winds mixing down to all elevations caused by a relatively low elevation jet and a strong pressure gradient. On the morning of the 6th, winds were blowing at 60 mph and gusting to 100 mph on Scarp Ridge. On the 7th the storm track shifted northward as a high pressure began to build over the West. The high pressure lasted through the rest of the work week and brought a warming trend, calm winds and sunny skies. On the 10th, Elkton reached a high temperature of 43 degrees Fahrenheit. A pair of fast moving disturbances brought back unsettled weather on the 11th and 12th. These shortwave troughs resulted in some snow further north, but only brought increased clouds and gusty winds around the Crested Butte Area. High pressure took hold over the West again on the 13th allowing for calm and dry weather and temperatures approaching near record highs through the 15th.
Persistent slabs 1 to 3 feet thick over facets and facet crust combos buried mid February remained an avalanche problem through the first half of March on north through southeast aspects. These slabs remained sensitive to triggers through the first week of March. The problem slowly stabilized, and the danger dropped from Considerable on March 3rd to Moderate on the 4th and 5th. The extreme wind event on the 6th added weight to the slabs and raised the danger back to Considerable for the day. Eventually, after more time to stabilize and a lull in avalanche activity, the danger dropped down to Low at all elevation bands on the 13th.
March 3rd and 4th brought the first above freezing temperatures since the new snow on February 28th, adding loose wet avalanches to the problem list. These avalanches were small but concerning due to the potential for them to subsequently trigger larger persistent slab avalanches. Loose wet avalanches came back to the problem list on the 14th and 15th due to the near record high temperatures. They remained relatively small, but still potentially consequential.
The extreme westerly wind event on the 6th added wind slabs to the problem list through the 8th. The wind event seemed to do more wind scouring than loading, but some spots still harbored small but dense wind slabs that would make for unpleasant surprises, especially in consequential terrain.
By Arden Feldman CBAC Intern
After the cold front on February 23rd, the Crested Butte area was stuck in cold, northwest flow until the 26th. Embedded disturbances within the flow kept clouds and convective snow showers overhead during this period but did not result in significant accumulations. Temperatures were cold with a high at Elkton of 6 degrees Fahrenheit on the 24th, reminding ourselves how soft we’ve gotten during this unusually warm winter. Ahead of an incoming storm, southwesterly flow increased on the 26th resulting in gusty winds. The combination of a cold front, the jet stream bringing in subtropical moisture, and an upper level low pressure trough further adding instability, resulted in a powerful winter storm on the 27th and 28th. By the evening of the 28th, 8 to 25 inches of snow fell across the forecast area. Schofield Pass picked up 25” of snow (2.4” SWE) while Kebler Pass received 18” of snow (1.5” SWE). For the rest of the week, the Crested Butte area remained in dry, cold, northwest flow allowing for light winds, sunny skies, and cold temperatures.
Wind slabs from strong winds the week prior and continued winds this week remained the primary avalanche problem through the first half of the week. On February 25th, the persistent slab problem from the surface hoar layer buried January 19th was finally put to rest and taken off the problem list. This was after over two weeks without a persistent slab avalanche being reported in our forecast area, and 11 days since one was reported in the Aspen Zone. We were allowed two days without a persistent slab problem until a new persistent weak layer became active during the powerful storm on the 27th. A layer of near surface facets that formed during the previous dry weather was now being put to the test. On the 28th the avalanche danger was raised to Considerable at all elevations and we were dealing with a significant natural slab avalanche cycle. These slabs were primarily failing on fragile facet and crust-facet layers 1-3 feet deep, most commonly on easterly facing wind-loaded aspects above treeline. The storm also brought about wind and storm slabs that were quick to heal and off the problem list by March 2nd.
By Arden Feldman CBAC Intern
The week began clear and warm on February 17th but high clouds began to build on the 18th from a deep Pacific trough making landfall on the California coast. Moisture associated with the trough began streaming in from the southwest on the 18th but unfortunately the bulk of the energy and precipitation remained out near the west coast. Accumulations were only marginal with occasional light snow showers into the 19th. On the afternoon of the 19th a low pressure trough moved over Colorado, bringing with it a warm, moist air mass with southerly flow. This system brought snowfall through the night and resulted in 2 to 8 inches of snow across our area by the morning of the 20th, favoring the Kebler Pass and Paradise Divide zones. Strong westerly winds accompanied the new snow.
A temporary ridge built overhead on the 20th allowing for scattered skies and warm temperatures. Another Pacific trough began to move onshore on the 21st, quickly breaking down the ridge. Associated moist southwest flow stayed to our north and west in Wyoming and Utah. Being on the edge of this flow we saw increasing clouds and strong winds on the 21st and 22nd. The Elkton weather station recorded a 102 mph gust on the 21st. Finally on the morning of the 23rd a cold front drifted south over the Elk Mountains and brought steady snowfall with it. 8 to 10 inches of snow, driven by strong west to northwest winds, accumulated on the 23rd. The Schofield Pass Snotel Site recorded .5” of SWE and 10” of snow.
Persistent slabs on buried surface hoar 1 to 3 feet deep were the avalanche problem in the beginning of the week. The slabs were becoming increasingly unreactive but were still possible to trigger on near tree line northerly slopes. By the end of the week they had become unlikely to trigger. No new persistent slabs were observed this week and the last reported persistent slab occurred on February 14th in the Aspen Zone.
The new snow and strong westerly winds on the afternoon of the 19th built wind slabs on leeward aspects near and above tree line, and wind slabs were added to the problem list on the 20th. With continued strong winds and more snow on the 23rd, the wind slabs stuck around through the end of the week and kept the avalanche danger rating at moderate near and above tree line. They remained possible to trigger and small to large in size. During the second half of the week, several wind slabs were skier triggered and were responsible for a couple of close calls (Coon Basin, Purple Peak).
We are excited to announce our new executive director and lead forecaster: Ben Pritchett. Ben brings a broad skill-set and diverse experience in the avalanche industry to the CBAC. In the past 12 years, Ben has served as the program coordinator for AIARE and avalanche education coordinator for the CAIC, gaining valuable experience working with backcountry users, educators, and forecasters around the country. Ben is a former forecaster for the CBAC and leads the forecasting program for the Grand Traverse. He also owns and runs a backcountry guiding business here in Crested Butte. Ben’s industry connections and local understanding of our terrain, weather, and snowpack will contribute to the quality of our forecast products. Ben will be replacing Zach Guy who is stepping down from the role and will be starting as the director of the Flathead Avalanche Center in Montana this spring.
A complete report of the avalanche accident on February 2, 2017 near Gothic is now available at this link