Mountain Weather 11/26/`5

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 11/26/2015

There is a closed low hanging out to our west and wobbling around between Nevada and California. Its forcasted to get bogged down with thanksgiving affairs before heading North and East of Colorado later this weekend or early next week. Unfortunately for us Central Colorado isn’t in a favorable potion with this Closed Low through the entire period. So our mountains will see cloudy skys and likely only a few snow flurries as we head into the weekend. One thing of note is that weather models are notoriously bad at forecasting the wobbly destination of Closed Lows Pressure Systems. So we could hold out a small bit of hope that she wobbles her way into a more favorable position for central Colorado, then forcasted.

Mountain Weather 11/25/15

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 11/25/2015

The closed low has moved offshore and is stalling over the Great Basin. Another unseasonably warm day is in store for today, with thickening clouds and increasing winds ahead of the system. The low drags a cold front and weak band of snow showers across our mountains tonight, but isn’t bringing much moisture with it. Unsettled weather continues into the weekend.

Paradise Divide Area

CB Avalanche Center2015-16 Observations

Date of Observation: 11/24/2015
Name: Evan Ross
Aspect: East, South West, West
Elevation: 11,000-12,500

Avalanches: Noticed one avalanche between Mt treasure and Treasury that likely occurred during the natural cycle that happened during the week of 11/16. U-N-R2-D2-I. Wind loaded bowl on an East aspect at about 13,000ft.
Weather: Partly cloudy skys in the morning gave way to few clouds by mid-day. Ridgetop winds were light from the West. Temperatures felt sightly cooler then the previous days with snow surfaces on southerly slopes staying frozen or dry.
Snowpack: Steep Southerly slopes had a wafer thin crust from yesterdays warm temps and those snow surfaces remained frozen today. Most alpine northerly and westerly slopes were put through the sand blaster during the last wind event. Easterly and Southerly alpine slopes vary from nice creamy textured surfaces to firm hardslabs and windboard. No instabilities were observed while traveling but one snowpit on an easterly slope produced a propagating test result with the persistent slab that started forming on 11/16. Pit attached below.

U-N-R2-D2-I. Natural avalanche that likely occurred during the week of 11/16. Located between Mt Treasure and Treasury.
11.24.15

Mt. Owen Snowpack Update

CB Avalanche Center2015-16 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 11/24/2015
Name: Dustin Eldridge
Subject: Mt. Owen Snowpack Update
Aspect: North, North East, East, South East, South
Elevation: 11,600

Avalanches: None witnessed.

Weather: Calm, clear and rather warm. 42 Farenheit at Kebler trailhead
Snowpack: Dug two pits around 11,600 feet in the basin between Purple and Owen.

First pit dug on ENE aspect. HS=60 cm. From the bottom, there was around 5cm of 1-3 mm facets with a deteriorating crust above, topped by 40 cm of 1mm and Fist hardness grains. This was topped by 10 cm of 4f windslab and capped with 5 cm of 1f/p wind crust. Crust either gave no penetration or in shallower areas your boot went all the way to the ground.

Snowpit 1

Snowpit 1

Second pit was dug less than 15 yards away on same feature, slightly higher elevation and slightly more N-facing. HS=140 cm and no boot pen. The top 5cm of the pack was Pencil hardness windslab with 1f-4f slab comprising the rest of the pack. Couldn’t find any depth hoar or faceted crystals on the bottom of the pack. No tests conducted unfortunately. Wouldn’t expect any results except maybe on the Crust/facet combo of the smaller pit. Surprised at the uniformity of this pit, some minor density changes but layering was difficult to find.
Snowpit 2

Snowpit 2

Slide on Augusta

CB Avalanche Center2015-16 Observations

Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 11/24/2015
Subject: Slide on Augusta
Aspect: South East
Elevation: ~12,200



Avalanches: Snow collapsed and avalanche was triggered from below while we were skinning. No burials or injuries. No one was caught.Best estimates are 100′ wide, 300 or 400′ in running length. Possibly D2. We never saw the crown up close, but estimate it was around 3-feet deep on average.
Weather: Sunny, light wind from SW.
Snowpack: Below 12,000′ on the south-facing aspect was a mixture of some occasional wind slab mixed in-between snow that was virtually spring-like – upper layers that were turning into rounds. Above 12,000′ was windslab or soft slabs on top of facets.

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Snow surface obs

CB Avalanche Center2015-16 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 11/23/2015
Name: Zach Guy
Subject: Snow surface obs
Aspect: North East, East, South
Elevation: 10,000 -13,000 ft

Avalanches: No signs of instability observed across multiple slopes and aspects.
Weather: Few to scattered thin clouds. Light west winds. Mild temps.
Snowpack: Traveled across a variety of aspects above and below treeline to observe current snow surface. South aspects became moist yesterday at all elevations. Surfaces are quite firm above treeline and weak below treeline, consisting of:
-Pencil hard melt-freeze crusts (11/16 crust exposed due to scouring) on scoured south or southeast aspects ATL
-1F or pencil hard, small grained, wind packed rounds (wind board or old windslabs) on all aspects ATL, anywhere that winds had drifted or deposited snow, especially in gullies or rollovers ATL. This is the predominant snow surface above treeline right now.
-4F faceting sastrugi on scoured features on all aspects ATL. Became moist on southerly aspects.
-Fist hard 1 to 1.5 mm facets make up the entire snowpack on shaded aspects below treeline, with some decomposing graupel at the surface. Snow depth was less than 12″ BTL.

Mountain Weather 11/24/15

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 11/24/2015

The big question is whether we can expect powder piled as high as our stuffing and gravy this week? The much anticipated storm is currently marching south along the Pacific Coast. It closes off and stalls over Nevada through the rest of the week. We will see winds and cloud cover increase by tomorrow ahead of southwesterly flow rounding the closed low. This system doesn’t look very promising right now, lacking moisture content and favorable orographic winds for our area. We should see a few inches of snow by Thanksgiving Day, with most of the moisture concentrated to our south and east. There are hints of more excitement into the weekend, but we’re too far off with this system to pin down the details.

Mountain Weather 11/23

CB Avalanche CenterWeather

Date: 11/23/2015

Today will be very similar to the weekend, with slightly warmer temperatures above the stubborn valley inversions. If heading out later in the day, you may notice increasing westerly winds and high clouds as a slight disturbance in the dry westerly flow moves over Colorado, which will insulate from frigid lows tonight. Look for increasing clouds, precipitation, and colder temperatures later this week.

Persistent slab structure through terrain

CB Avalanche Center2015-16 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 11/22/2015
Name: Evan Ross
Subject: Persistent slab structure through terrain
Aspect: North East, East, South East, North West
Elevation: 10,400-12,200

Weather: Not a lick of wind and warmer temps with stronger solar then the previous day.
Snowpack: Traveld through many different slopes in the upper OBJ drainage while simply probing for snowpack structure. Strong over weak structure would be very obvious in one location while 15ft to the side the layering would be much more uniform. This widely variable snowpack structure could be found on all slopes traveled, E, SE, NW, NE and elevations above. Collapsing was felt on many of these slopes, mostly while traveling over the slab margins. Though no natural or recent avalanche activity could be found in the area. So Persistent slab structure existed and could be found on the aspects traveled above, but the avalanche problem seemed to be very stubborn. Last weeks strong wind events largely lead to this variable snowpack structure. With the same slope being striped down to say, 40cm in one area and loaded with a hard slab over weaker facets say, 100cm deep only 15ft away from the shallower area.

Mount Baldy Avalanche

CB Avalanche Center2015-16 Observations

Location: Kebler Pass Area
Date of Observation: 11/21/2015
Name: WS
Subject: Mount Baldy Avalanche
Aspect: North
Elevation: ATL

Avalanches: 11/21/15 “we watched two skiers skin up and set this off early afternoon. The two skiers are visible at the top of the slide in this pic (barely). (no other information was provided, but if you look hard you can make out the old crown of the slide triggered early november just to the looker’s right of this slide -fx’r note)

Baldy slide (pic taken from CBAC facebook page)