Mountain Weather for Monday, December 22nd, 2014

Date: 12/22/2014

The strong pacific system with origins near Hawaii will continue to churn through Colorado today, dropping an additional 6-18″ by Tuesday morning. The strong overhead jet with dip closer to the lower levels of the atmosphere, generating vorticity and high winds at all elevations. Alpine terrain will likely see wind speeds in the 80-100 mph range and creating whiteout conditions. Winds will eventually switch to a more northerly direction this afternoon, which will cut off the moisture source, and gradually end the snowfall in most locations by the evening hours.

December 21, 2014

Date: 12/21/2014

Conditions are eerily quiet this morning, kind of like that time I asked a girl on a date. However, this will all change as precipitation and strong winds move into our area today. Impressive Divergence aloft, or lift, combined with ample moisture and additional orographic snowfall are responsible for a winter storm warning being issued for our area. This disturbance will be impacting NW Colorado this morning and should be moving into are area mid-day or this afternoon. The storm will have moved east of our area on Monday night, but orographic snowfall could linger. Flat ridging will bring drying conditions Tuesday and Wednesday with the next storm lining up for Christmas Day.

Mountain Weather for Saturday, December 20th, 2014

Date: 12/20/2014

Christmas looks to be arriving early as high clouds continue to increase as moisture begins to stream into our area ahead of a prolonged winter storm set to arrive this afternoon and into the evening. Models suggest that the jet streak that was going to be enhancing the snowfall for areas near Steamboat, will sag farther south, putting central Colorado, including the Elk Mountains, in the bullseye for this major winter storm. Expect high winds and near blizzard conditions especially near treeline through Monday. Storm total look to range between 1-2 feet, with higher amounts possible.

Mountain Weather December 19th, 2014

Date: 12/19/2014

Scattered snow showers across the higher elevations will slowly taper off during the day as a weak ridge of high pressure temporarily builds today. Winds should remain light and highs should reach the low to mid 20s today.

This ridge will quickly be ushered out of Colorado as a developing winter storm takes aim on northern and central Colorado starting Saturday night, as moist northwest flow develops, with dynamics aided by strong upper jet support. A Winter Storm Watch has already been hoisted, and models this morning are hinting at total storm accumulations to be measured in feet, and accompanied by more wind than what we have seen over the last few weeks. Looking ahead, another storm looks to clip the Elk Mountains just in time for Rudolph.

Mountain Weather December 18th, 2014

Date: 12/18/2014

With plenty of moisture overhead, unsettled weather will continue today. Snowfall is winding down as most of the precipitation is shifting to our north and east this morning. Tomorrow brings a lull in the action as an upper level ridge brings partial clearing. Christmas might come early this year if Santa can drag the moist, northwest flow into our Elk Mountains this weekend. A series of waves bringing abundant moisture, favorable orographics, and jet stream support are forecasted to impact the northern half of the state beginning Sunday afternoon through Tuesday. Keep those fingers crossed it reaches us.

Mountain Weather December 17, 2014

Date: 12/17/2014

A weakly organized system will spread snow showers into the Elk Mountains today. We’re looking at 3-6” by Thursday morning, before flow shifts northwest and a shortwave ridge dries out the atmosphere heading into the weekend. Models are hinting at the right ingredients for continued snowfall this weekend and Christmas week.

December 15, 2014 Mountain Weather

Date: 12/16/2014

Warm, southwest flow is streaming clouds over the region this morning. The warm air advection will limit precipitation to light flurries at best. Moisture will deepen on Wednesday ahead of a broad, Pacific trough that moves across the state later this week. The first embeddded shortwave trough arrives late Wednesday, bringing modest snowfall.

December 15, 2014

Date:

The low pressure system responsible for our resent stormy weather has moved on to Kansas. Orographic snowfall will linger the longest in the western portion of the zone but will otherwise diminish through the day. Moisture is being pulled out of the area and a ridge is approaching from the west making for dryer condition this afternoon. The resent weather system has been complicated and the remainder of the week is looking the same. Forecast models still need to come into agreement, through we can expect overcast skies and chances for light snow through the week.

December 14, 2014

Date: 12/14/2014

Last nights disturbance is moving out of our area for tacos in New Mexico. We would see a drying trend due to this, but as the trough axis shifts east this morning we’ll be moving into northwest flow. This northwest flow will produce lingering orographic snow showers for our area through the day. The Western portion of our zone, Irwin, Paradise Divide and Schofield will see the best chance for continued snowfall today and into tonight. Any lingering showers should be diminishing by Monday morning. Unsettled weather returns for Wednesday night through Thursday but isn’t looking to impressive at this time.

Saturday 12/13 Weather

Date: 12/13/2014

As of 6am, the much anticipated cold front is racing across the Utah desert. This north-south oriented cold front will break the 20-day long drought and bring significant snowfall to the Elk Mountains. Look for the storm to begin warm and wet, and steadily cool off throughout the weekend. South winds average 25-30 mph this morning with stronger speeds above treeline, then wind will decrease this afternoon after the cold front passage around 3pm. Tonight will be the heaviest shot of snow as the winds aloft veer from southwest to westerly, funneling moisture into the Crested Butte area. Sunday we will see continued snow, with forecast models still hinting at total storm accumulations in the 8-14″ range by Monday morning.