Rough Overall Danger Analysis of CBAC Forecast Area

CB Avalanche Center 2018-19 Observations

Location: Crested Butte Area
Date of Observation: 01/24/2019
Name: Ian Havlick

Subject: Rough Overall Danger Analysis of CBAC Forecast Area


Rough Analysis of Avalanche danger across forecast area with colors corresponding (yellow=moderate danger, yellow-ish orange = trending from considerable to Moderate, and dark orange = lingering more widespread considerable danger). Additionally, red stars symbolize observed avalanches size D2.5 or larger since 1/18/2019.

As communicated in daily avalanche forecasts, the threat of greater (larger and more widespread) avalanche activity (both persistent slab and wind slabs) in the shallower snow-covered areas near and east of Crested Butte is symbolized in this visual interpretation.

As illustrated by the red stars, there have been many more large to very large avalanches in the eastern portion of our forecast area.  The greatest uncertainty lies in these transition areas in a band from Gothic, to Washington Gulch to Mount Emmons, to Mount Axtell.