Mountain Weather March 22, 2018

CB Avalanche Center Weather

Date: 03/22/2018

“The Dude,” our beloved closed low parked on the coast this last week, steps up to the lane to bowl his final frame over the next few days. Today into Friday it looks like he’s going to throw a spare, leaving a few pins standing until Monday when he’ll try to finish up with a final bowling ball of a closed low.
Warm southwest flow ushers in a heaping pile of moisture today, with little storm organization or lifting mechanisms required for significant precipitation. It’s not until tonight when a weak cold front arrives that we’ll see temperatures drop and bowling pins falling from the sky. Below 11,000′ there’s a good chance any precip will be rain.
Tonight and Tomorrow morning, the storm will rage above 12,000′ with the precipitation intensity rapidly diminishing at lower elevations. Across the CBAC forecast area, we’ll see huge variations in snowfall totals, with only a few wet inches in town and as much as two feet in isolated areas along the Elk Crest.  That variation will be due to both the convective nature of the storm, with strong isolated cells, and also the elevation gradient, where we’ll see much more snow up high.  For the GT folks, the models are showing about a foot for Star and Taylor passes, but the storm could exceed those numbers anywhere a convective thunder-cell pops. By mid-day Friday, the storm will taper off, leaving temps in the low 20’s and a light breeze for race night.

  • Today

    High Temperature: 40
    Winds/Direction: 5 to 15, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 0 to 2″
    Elkton Snow: 0 to 2″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 0 to 2″

  • Tonight

    Low Temperature: 30
    Winds/Direction: 20 to 30, gusting to 50, Southwest
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 5 to 8″
    Elkton Snow: 5 to 8″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 5 to 8″

  • Tomorrow

    High Temperature: 35
    Winds/Direction: 20-30, gusting to 40 West Southwest
    Sky Cover: Overcast
    Irwin Snow: 6 to 8″
    Elkton Snow: 6 to 8″
    Friend’s Hut Snow: 6 to 8″