Loose Dry

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Release of dry unconsolidated snow. These avalanches typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. Loose-dry avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose-dry avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Loose Dry avalanches are usually relatively harmless to people. They can be hazardous if you are caught and carried into or over a terrain trap (e.g. gully, rocks, dense timber, cliff, crevasse) or down a long slope. Avoid traveling in or above terrain traps when Loose Dry avalanches are likely.

Danger Scale

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Danger Scale

The North American Avalanche Danger Scale is a five level scale used to communicate the danger of avalanche to backcountry recreationalists. The danger is a combination of the expected likelihood, size, and distribution of avalanches. It provides a very basic description of the avalanche conditions.

Size

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Size is based on the destructive potential of avalanches.

SMALL avalanches are relatively harmless to people unless they push you into a terrain trap.

LARGE avalanches could bury, injure or kill a person.

VERY LARGE avalanches could bury cars, destroy a house, or break trees.

HISTORIC avalanches are even more destructive, and nearing the maximum size the slope could produce.

Likelihood

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Likelihood is a description of the chance of encountering a particular avalanche problem. It combines the spatial distribution of the problem and the sensitivity or ease of triggering avalanche. The spatial distribution indicates how likely you are to encounter the problem in the highlighted avalanche terrain. The sensitivity indicates how easy it is to trigger avalanches when you do encounter them. Sensitivity includes both natural or spontaneous release and human triggered avalanches.

Aspect/Elevation

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The Aspect/Elevation diagram describes the spatial pattern of the Avalanche Problem by aspect (the direction a slope faces) and elevation band (Above, Near, or Below Treeline). The diagram will be filled with gray where you are most likely to encounter the Avalanche Problem . You can view the diagram as you would a mountain on a topographic map. The outer ring represents the Below Treeline elevation band, middle ring Near Treeline, and the inner ring Above Treeline. The diagram is oriented like a compass, with the top wedges representing north aspects, the left wedges representing west, etc.

Problem Type

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Avalanche Problems are categories of avalanche activity. The Problems may not describe all avalanche activity you might observe, but they categorize the avalanches by how we manage the risk in the terrain. This approach focuses on relevant observations you can make in the field and how to treat the avalanche risk.

The forecasts list up to three current Problems, along with the spatial distribution, the likelihood of avalanches, and anticipated size. Forecasters provide specific details in a short paragraph.

Below Treeline

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Below Treeline

Below Treeline is the lowest of three elevation bands used in the CBAC’s forecasts. It extends from valley floors or snowline to Near Treeline. Open areas and sparse trees are possible. Snowfall tends to be less than the other elevation bands. Tree cover shelters the snow from wind effects.

Near Treeline

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Near Treeline

Near Treeline is the middle of the three elevation bands used in the CBAC’s forecasts. It is a transition zone between dense forests and treeless alpine areas. It is the narrowest of the three elevation bands, extending only a few hundred feet above and below the treeline. It varies locally, and is not a constant elevation or width.

Above Treeline

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Above Treeline

Above Treeline is the highest of the three elevation bands used in the CBAC’s forecasts. It includes alpine areas where the most snow falls and the winds are the strongest. It is not an exact elevation, but a characteristic of the terrain, beginning as the treeline transitions into open slopes extending to ridges and the tops of the highest peaks.

Baldy

CB Avalanche Center2014-15 Observations

Name: Brandon Clifford
Title: Baldy
Location: Paradise Divide Area
Date of Observation: 11/19/2014
Aspect: South
Elevation: 12,805′

Avalanches: None.

Weather: Sunny with 0-5 (mph) wind.

Snowpack: Thin on top with better snow on leeward slopes.

Great skiing on Baldy Peak in November.