Date of Observation: 01/06/2023
Name: Zach Guy
Zone: Northwest Mountains
Route Description: Standard Axtell uptrack and descended a recent bedsurface/debris pile in 2nd Bowl. Then snowmobiled out to Beckwith Pass, traveling mostly below treeline.
Observed avalanche activity: Yes
Avalanches: Several recent large and very large avalanches in Axtell. 2nd Bowl had what appeared to be two unique events that both reached valley floor. The first likely ran during the 12/31-1/1 cycle, evidenced by about 12″ of new on the bedsurface. The second and larger of the two likely ran during the 1/3-1/4 cycle, evidenced by only last night’s snow on the debris. There were a couple of other large avalanches on smaller terrain features in 2nd Bowl. All crowns were about 4 feet thick and failed on depth hoar near the ground. The Wang Chung slide put a big debris pile in valley bottom as well, likely another D3. I couldn’t see if the crown extended into Pencil or not.
Weather: Moderate to heavy snowfall most of the day. There was about 6″ of new near Beckwith Pass at noon, and it came down hard on our way out. Blowing snow near treeline.
Snowpack: Today’s objective was to target sensitivity of below treeline slopes in the shallower fringe areas of the NW Mtns. Stubborn fits well; jumping above and sidehilling across numerous slopes did not produce any signs of instability, and we saw no collapses. The mid-December layer is showing significant improvement (~1mm, rounding) and didn’t produce failures in tests. However, we did still get propagating results (once on isolation, once on hard loading) on the depth hoar layer at the ground, on a north-facing slope of Mt. Axtell.
Photos:
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Propagating failures on depth hoar about 4 feet deep
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The crowns in 2nd bowl were about 4 feet thick, failing near the ground.
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Persistent slab in 2nd Bowl that wrapped across terrain features through the trees.
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A pair of large persistent slabs in 2nd Bowl.
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Rough outline of crowns and debris from 2nd and 3rd Bowl. There could have been more crown in the Pencil area, but I couldn’t see it from this vantage.
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Both 2nd and 3rd Bowl ran to valley bottom during the recent cycles.
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Stability tests on a SE facing slope below treeline by Beckwith Pass.
Estimated avalanche date: 01/01/2023
Number of Avalanches: 1
Location
Location: Mount Axtell
Location Specific:
Start Zone Elevation: NTL: Near Tree Line
Aspect: NE
Characteristics
Trigger: Natural
Trigger modifier:
Type: Hard Slab
Failure Plane: Old snow
Size
Relative Size: R3 medium
Destructive Size: D2.5
Avg. crown height (inches): 48
Avg. width (feet):
Avg. vertical run (feet): 1700
Involvements
# of people caught:
# of partial burials:
# of full burials:
Additional comments: 2nd bowl. About 12″ on bedsurface. Failed on depth hoar layer.
Estimated avalanche date: 01/04/2023
Number of Avalanches: 1
Location
Location: Mount Axtell
Location Specific:
Start Zone Elevation: NTL: Near Tree Line
Aspect: N
Characteristics
Trigger: Natural
Trigger modifier:
Type: Hard Slab
Failure Plane: Old snow
Size
Relative Size: R3 medium
Destructive Size: D3 – could destroy a car, wood-frame house, or snap trees
Avg. crown height (inches): 50
Avg. width (feet):
Avg. vertical run (feet): 1800
Involvements
# of people caught:
# of partial burials:
# of full burials:
Additional comments: 2nd Bowl. Only last night’s snow on the debris.
Estimated avalanche date: 01/01/2023
Number of Avalanches: 2
Location
Location: Mount Axtell
Location Specific:
Start Zone Elevation: BTL: Below Tree Line
Aspect: NE
Characteristics
Trigger: Natural
Trigger modifier:
Type: Hard Slab
Failure Plane: Old snow
Size
Relative Size: R1 very small
Destructive Size: D2 – could bury, injure, or kill a person
Avg. crown height (inches): 45
Avg. width (feet):
Avg. vertical run (feet):
Involvements
# of people caught:
# of partial burials:
# of full burials:
Additional comments: 2nd Bowl, lower in the path. Maybe sympathetic.
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